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Title:

Predicting Single-Vehicle Fatal Crashes for Two-Lane Rural Highways in Southeastern United States

Accession Number:

01152099

Record Type:

Component

Availability:

Transportation Research Board Business Office

500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC 20001 United States
Order URL: http://www.trb.org/Main/Blurbs/Highway...alysis_and_Evaluation_2010_V_164242.aspx

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Order URL: http://worldcat.org/isbn/9780309142878

Abstract:

The rural two-lane highway in the southeastern United States is frequently associated with a disproportionate number of serious and fatal crashes and as such remains a focus of considerable safety research. The Georgia Department of Transportation spearheaded a regional fatal crash analysis to identify various safety performances of two-lane rural highways and to offer guidance for identifying suitable countermeasures with which to mitigate fatal crashes. The fatal crash data used in this study were compiled from Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi, and South Carolina. The database, developed for an earlier study, included 557 randomly selected fatal crashes from 1997 or 1998 or both (this varied by state). Each participating state identified the candidate crashes and performed physical or video site visits to construct crash databases with enhanced site-specific information. Motivated by the hypothesis that single- and multiple-vehicle crashes arise from fundamentally different circumstances, the research team applied binary logit models to predict the probability that a fatal crash is a single-vehicle run-off-road fatal crash given roadway design characteristics, roadside environment features, and traffic conditions proximal to the crash site. A wide variety of factors appears to influence or be associated with single-vehicle fatal crashes. In a model transferability assessment, the authors determined that lane width, horizontal curvature, and ambient lighting are the only three significant variables that are consistent for single-vehicle run-off-road crashes for all study locations.

Monograph Accession #:

01206855

Report/Paper Numbers:

10-3682

Language:

English

Authors:

Zhu, Hong
Dixon, Karen K
Washington, Simon
Jared, David M

Pagination:

pp 88-96

Publication Date:

2010

Serial:

Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board

Issue Number: 2147
Publisher: Transportation Research Board
ISSN: 0361-1981

ISBN:

9780309142878

Media Type:

Print

Features:

Figures (3) ; References (17) ; Tables (8)

Geographic Terms:

Subject Areas:

Highways; Safety and Human Factors; I82: Accidents and Transport Infrastructure

Files:

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Created Date:

Jan 25 2010 11:52AM

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