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Title:

Flight Delay Propagation Impact on Strategic Air Traffic Flow Management

Accession Number:

01151020

Record Type:

Component

Availability:

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Order URL: http://www.trb.org/Main/Blurbs/Aviation_2010_164767.aspx

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Order URL: http://worldcat.org/isbn/9780309160476

Abstract:

Despite recent decreases in air traffic, congestion is still at higher levels than it was several years ago. Because of this congestion and expected increases in traffic, strategic planning for daily operations in the air traffic system has taken on an increasingly important role. Weather typically has a strong influence in developing such plans, as it leads to degraded airport and airspace capacity, which in turn causes delays. However, many reported delays are induced by these initial effects. Thus, it is essential to understand the scope and impact of propagation of flight delays in a strategic setting. In this paper, delay propagation is examined over several years in spatial and temporal terms. Two models, each incorporating different levels of fidelity and flexibility, are applied in an effort to examine this phenomenon. The first model tracks individual aircraft as they operate several flights and explicitly separates the new delay from the propagated delay. The second model operates at a higher level by relating earlier and later delays at several airports. Results identifying the various impacts of delay propagation are reported for several airports and scenarios, and recommendations are made for incorporating these models and their output into strategic planning efforts.

Monograph Title:

Aviation 2010

Monograph Accession #:

01324709

Report/Paper Numbers:

10-3323

Language:

English

Authors:

Churchill, Andrew M
Lovell, David J
Ball, Michael O

Pagination:

pp 105-113

Publication Date:

2010

Serial:

Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board

Issue Number: 2177
Publisher: Transportation Research Board
ISSN: 0361-1981

ISBN:

9780309160476

Media Type:

Print

Features:

Figures (7) ; References (19) ; Tables (1)

Candidate Terms:

Subject Areas:

Aviation; Operations and Traffic Management; I73: Traffic Control

Files:

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Created Date:

Jan 25 2010 11:39AM

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