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Title:

Incorporating Uncertainty into Transportation Decision Making: Sustainability-Oriented Approach

Accession Number:

01157736

Record Type:

Component

Availability:

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Order URL: http://www.trb.org/Main/Blurbs/Planning_2010_164711.aspx

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Order URL: http://worldcat.org/isbn/9780309160445

Abstract:

Incorporating uncertainty into transportation decision making has become a more important activity as evidenced by the popularity of scenario-based approaches in the regional transportation planning process. Particularly in decision making to promote sustainability, uncertainty and risk factors can be important elements because they can influence which alternative is perceived as the most desirable depending on a wide range of parameters. The objective of the study is to demonstrate how some of these uncertainties can be incorporated when a multiple-criteria decision-making method is used to choose the most desirable among competing alternatives. Using data from the Atlanta, Georgia, metropolitan region, this paper examines the sensitivity of the relative desirability of competing transportation and land use plans to changes in regional priorities and weights for sustainability parameters. Throughout the study, sensitivity analysis is used as a tool to incorporate the variability in criteria weights and concurrent variation in the sustainability evaluation results and final decision. These exercises could help decision makers determine how changing the emphasis on different regional priorities could most effectively result in desired regional outcomes.

Monograph Title:

Planning 2010

Monograph Accession #:

01324592

Report/Paper Numbers:

10-2219

Language:

English

Authors:

Jeon, Christy Mihyeon

Pagination:

pp 58-67

Publication Date:

2010

Serial:

Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board

Issue Number: 2174
Publisher: Transportation Research Board
ISSN: 0361-1981

ISBN:

9780309160445

Media Type:

Print

Features:

Figures (7) ; References (7) ; Tables (3)

Geographic Terms:

Subject Areas:

Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Public Transportation; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning

Files:

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Created Date:

Jan 25 2010 11:01AM

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