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Title:

Demand Forecasting for Road Transportation in Japan

Accession Number:

01154962

Record Type:

Component

Availability:

Transportation Research Board Business Office

500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC 20001 United States

Abstract:

In Japan, population reached at maximum at 128 million in 2005, then, started to decrease with more elderly generations. Under such circumstance, estimating effects of new road has become significantly important in forecasting road transportation demand, using cost-benefit analysis, environmental effect analysis for political decision of planning national trunk road network. This study attempted to comprehend recent development in transport demand by vehicle, and to forecast future demand based on model analysis. The study found that vehicle transport demand (VKT) for both passenger and freight vehicles have decreased; in passenger transport, driver's license holders have increased among women and the elderly. Number of trips by vehicle increased, and average travel distance has decreased due to increase of light passenger vehicles. Regarding freight transport, transport unit has decreased due to increase in value-added to carried goods. Freight transport has been shifted to in-house, and regular truck. Operation range for freight vehicle has expanded as well.

Monograph Accession #:

01147878

Report/Paper Numbers:

10-1988

Language:

English

Corporate Authors:

Transportation Research Board

500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC 20001 United States

Authors:

Mori, Masahumi
Ishida, Haruo
Mohri, Yuuichi
Okamoto, Naohisa

Pagination:

19p

Publication Date:

2010

Conference:

Transportation Research Board 89th Annual Meeting

Location: Washington DC, United States
Date: 2010-1-10 to 2010-1-14
Sponsors: Transportation Research Board

Media Type:

DVD

Features:

Figures (10) ; References (9) ; Tables (5)

Geographic Terms:

Subject Areas:

Highways; Planning and Forecasting; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning

Source Data:

Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting 2010 Paper #10-1988

Files:

TRIS, TRB

Created Date:

Jan 25 2010 10:55AM