01144832

Component

https://doi.org/10.3141/2093-09

http://scholar.google.com...hman&publication_year=2009

Researchers and practitioners have long recognized the advantages of mechanistic modeling. As agencies implement the "Guide for Mechanistic–Empirical Design of New and Rehabilitated Pavement Structures" [referred to as the Mechanistic–Empirical Pavement Design Guide (MEPDG)] in the local project-level pavement management system (PMS), its potential as a planning tool in network-level analyses remains unrecognized. A unique, large-scale application of MEPDG is presented. The Nebraska Department of Roads uses a decision tree that systematically screens and identifies candidates for entry into a multiyear optimization program. The process uses linear deterioration rates that have been shown to provide an R² value as low as 14%. In a retroactive 5-year analysis, 86 sections were prescreened by using the existing models. Predictions indicated that 85 of the 86 sections would have been candidates for maintenance in the first 5 years, whereas field data suggested that only 23 should have been targeted. Calibrated MEPDG distress models calculated with local performance indices replaced the existing linear models. When the analysis was repeated with the mechanistic–empirical models, 35 of the 86 sections qualified for entry into the 5-year analysis, a 70% improvement in the accuracy of the forecasted cost. This research fulfills a timely need for the transitioning of network-level PMS toward mechanistic practices. Consideration of fundamental material properties, climatic conditions, and the structural response to traffic loading provides improved accuracy in planning. Furthermore, production variability and prediction uncertainties can be quantified and used as an additional probabilistic decision-making parameter. Detailed results of the implementation of MEPDG in the local network-level PMS are presented.

01144833

English

pp 76-83

2009

Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board

9780309126243

Print

Figures (8) ; References (14) ; Tables (7)

Accuracy; Decision making; Decision trees; Pavement management systems

Mechanistic-Empirical Pavement Design Guide; Nebraska Department of Roads

Network level models

Design; Highways; Pavements; I22: Design of Pavements, Railways and Guideways

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Nov 16 2009 4:45PM

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• Development of a Calibration Procedure for the U.K. Highways Agency Traffic-Speed Deflectometer
• Development of a Management Framework for Rural Roads in Developing Countries: Integrating Socioeconomic Impacts
• Development of Distress Guidelines and Condition Rating to Improve Network Management in Ontario, Canada
• Evaluation of Long-Term Pavement Performance Profile Data for Flexible Pavements
• Impact of Escalating Construction Costs on Long-Term Pavement Performance Loss
• Infrastructure Assessment: Decision Making During a Crisis
• Integrating Environmental Perspectives into Pavement Management: Adding the Pavement Life-Cycle Assessment Tool for Environmental and Economic Effects to the Decision-Making Toolbox
• Methodology to Evaluate Quality of Pavement Surface Distress Data Collected by Automated Techniques
• Pavement Maintenance Prioritization Using Analytic Hierarchy Process
• Quadratic Linear Control Approach to Managing Network-Level Performance Goals of Pavement Infrastructure Systems
• Sensitivity of Axle Load Spectra in the Mechanistic-Empirical Pavement Design Guide for Washington State
• User-Oriented Model to Support Funding Decisions in Pavement Management