01127369

Component

https://doi.org/10.3141/2133-08

http://scholar.google.com...lman&publication_year=2009

A variety of land use models is driven by theoretical advances, data availability, enhanced computation, and new policy-making needs. This paper describes the process of developing and applying a disaggregate model system that seeks to simulate the subdivision and land use change of parcels and the spatial allocation of households and employment across zones. Relying on multinomial logit specifications, random number generation, and a seemingly unrelated regression model with both spatial lag and spatial error components, the model development process was accompanied by a variety of challenges. Some issues are specific to the model presented here, but many are common for integrated transport–land use models. It is hoped that solutions to these issues and lessons learned offer useful insights for ongoing improvements in land use modeling endeavors of all types. Comparisons of road pricing and trend scenario results for the Austin, Texas, region highlight how policies may shape land and travel futures. Although the road pricing policy did not alter land use intensity patterns in a significant way, it was forecast to increase speeds across the region’s network and reduce regional congestion levels.

01147880

09-2971

English

pp 75-82

2009

Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board

9780309142748

Print

Figures (2) ; References (42)

Employment; Households; Land use models; Lessons learned; Multinomial logits; Policy; Regression analysis; Road pricing

Integrated transportation systems; Parcel (Land)

Austin (Texas)

Highways; Planning and Forecasting; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Jan 30 2009 7:21PM

• Adapting Travel Models and Urban Models to Forecast Greenhouse Gases in California
• Anticipating Welfare Impacts via Travel Demand Forecasting Models: Comparison of Aggregate and Activity-Based Approaches for the Austin, Texas, Region
• Applications of Integrated Transport and Gravity-Based Land Use Models for Policy Analysis
• Calibrating a Synthetic Built Form Generator
• Development of Methodology for Toll Plaza Delay Estimation for Use in Travel Demand Model Postprocessor
• Dynamic Origin–Destination Estimation Using Dynamic Traffic Simulation Model in an Urban Arterial Corridor
• Intrametropolitan Location of Business Establishments: Microanalytical Model for Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
• Modeling Location Decisions of Office Firms: Introducing Anchor Points and Constructing Choice Sets in the Model System
• Reference-Dependent Residential Location Choice Model Within a Relocation Context
• Sensitivity Testing with the Oregon Statewide Integrated Model
• Spatial Equity Analysis on Expressway Network Development in Japan: Empirical Approach Using the Spatial Computable General Equilibrium Model RAEM-Light
• Testing an Integrated Land Use and Transportation Modeling Framework for a Small Metropolitan Area
• Understanding Residential Mobility: Joint Model of the Reason for Residential Relocation and Stay Duration