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Title: Decision Support Tool for Predicting Ground Delay Programs and Airport Delays from Weather Forecast Data
Accession Number: 01090122
Record Type: Component
Availability: Transportation Research Board Business Office 500 Fifth Street, NW Abstract: During peak periods of operation, the National Airspace System (NAS) suffers from limited resources. Traffic Flow Management (TFM) is responsible for adjusting traffic flow demand to meet the available capacity. In the case of airports, TFM uses the Ground Delay Program (GDP) to allocate the constrained runway resources. The assignment of GDPs is a complex process that takes into account multiple factors. Predicting GDPs and the resulting delays based on weather is not deterministic. This paper however, describes a tool for forecasting the likelihood of a GDP at an airport and the delays at an airport throughout the day and at specific time periods during the day. The tool, trained on historical weather forecast data, predicted GDP’s at four OEP airports with accuracy at 73% and delays with accuracy of 76%. The implications of these results are discussed for airlines and TFM.
Monograph Title: Monograph Accession #: 01084478
Report/Paper Numbers: 08-0420
Language: English
Corporate Authors: Transportation Research Board 500 Fifth Street, NW Authors: Smith, David AllenSherry, LancePagination: 12p
Publication Date: 2008
Conference:
Transportation Research Board 87th Annual Meeting
Location:
Washington DC, United States Media Type: DVD
Features: Figures
(4)
; References
(9)
; Tables
(4)
TRT Terms: Uncontrolled Terms: Subject Areas: Aviation; Operations and Traffic Management; Pavements; Terminals and Facilities
Source Data: Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting 2008 Paper #08-0420
Files: TRIS, TRB
Created Date: Jan 29 2008 2:46PM
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