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Title:

INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT IN GERMANY UNDER STAGNATING DEMAND CONDITIONS: A NEW PARADIGM?

Accession Number:

00978414

Record Type:

Component

Availability:

Transportation Research Board Business Office

500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC 20001 United States
Order URL: http://www.trb.org/Main/Public/Blurbs/155182.aspx

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Order URL: http://worldcat.org/isbn/0309094577

Abstract:

Findings from various sources of information, such as mobility panels, permanent road traffic recording devices, and model calculation methods, indicate that for the past few years passenger traffic demand in Germany has not been increasing but has shown notable evidence of stagnation. An analysis of various relevant factors clarifies that this has in fact been an emerging tendency. This is true especially with respect to the demographic changes in Germany and the increased probability of more scarce and definitely more expensive oil resources; further stagnation of traffic demand appears imminent. That leads to the conclusion that infrastructure development must not be based on the idea of everlasting growth with expansions in areas in which the symptoms of traffic growth have been most obvious. It will rather be necessary to identify accurately specific areas of growth or stagnation and to find a suitable scale for further development. Future planning should concentrate on modification rather than on expansion of infrastructure facilities.

Supplemental Notes:

This paper appears in Transportation Research Record No. 1864, Transportation Finance, Economics, and Economic Development 2004.

Monograph Accession #:

00978398

Language:

English

Corporate Authors:

Transportation Research Board

500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC 20001 United States

Authors:

Zumkeller, D
Chlond, B
Manz, W

Pagination:

p. 121-128

Publication Date:

2004

Serial:

Transportation Research Record

Issue Number: 1864
Publisher: Transportation Research Board
ISSN: 0361-1981

ISBN:

0309094577

Features:

Figures (5) ; References (25) ; Tables (1)

Uncontrolled Terms:

Stagnation

Geographic Terms:

Germany

Subject Areas:

Economics; Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Society; I10: Economics and Administration

Files:

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Created Date:

Sep 8 2004 12:00AM

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