00935408

Component

https://doi.org/10.3141/1805-12

http://scholar.google.com...wton&publication_year=2002

Since completing a trend-delphi-based regional forecast and transportation plan in 1996, the Portland, Oregon, Metro has developed an integrated transportation and land use model (MetroScope). The model is being used to explore several regional growth management options as well as to produce a new regional forecast and transportation plan. Comparing MetroScope results with the previous forecast reveals that integrated transportation and land use models may produce different results in regard to trip length, vehicle kilometers traveled, traffic congestion levels, mode and route choice, and employment and household locations. Compared with trend models, integrated models robustly respond to alternative land regulation and transportation investment policy options, allowing planners and officials an opportunity to evaluate the differences in land use and transportation arising from different policy choices. Moreover, the integrated models produce far more data on factors such as real estate prices, tenure choice, residential and nonresidential real estate output, land consumption, redevelopment, and density.

This paper appears in Transportation Research Record No. 1805, Travel Demand and Land Use 2002.

English

p. 99-107

2002

Transportation Research Record

0309077311

Figures (4) ; References (30) ; Tables (4)

Employment; Forecasting; Households; Land use planning; Location; Mode choice; Real estate development; Regional planning; Regulations; Route choice; Traffic congestion; Transportation planning; Transportation policy; Trip length; Urban growth; Vehicle miles of travel

Tri-County Metropolitan Transportation District of Oregon

Integrated models; Trend-delphi models

Highways; Law; Planning and Forecasting; Policy; Society; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning

TRIS, TRB

Dec 16 2003 12:00AM

• ACCESSIBILITY INDICES: CONNECTION TO RESIDENTIAL LAND PRICES AND LOCATION CHOICES
• ADAPTATION OF LOGIT KERNEL TO ROUTE CHOICE SITUATION
• AUTOMOBILE OWNERSHIP ANALYSIS USING ORDERED PROBIT MODELS
• DESIGN OF AN INTEGRATED LAND USE AND ACTIVITY-BASED TRAVEL MODEL SYSTEM FOR THE PUGET SOUND REGION
• EFFECTS OF IN-FILL RETAIL CENTER DEVELOPMENT ON REGIONAL TRAVEL PATTERNS
• FLEXIBLE MODELING STRATEGIES FOR ASSESSING THE INFLUENCE OF TRANSPORTATION ON ACCESSIBILITY
• HOUSEHOLD TRAVEL BEHAVIOR IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES: NESTED LOGIT MODEL OF VEHICLE OWNERSHIP, MODE CHOICE, AND TRIP CHAINING
• INCORPORATING NONMOTORIZED MODE AND NEIGHBORHOOD ACCESSIBILITY IN AN INTEGRATED LAND USE AND TRANSPORTATION MODEL SYSTEM
• MICROSIMULATION IN TRAVEL DEMAND MODELING: LESSONS LEARNED FROM THE NEW YORK BEST PRACTICE MODEL
• MIXED LOGIT (OR LOGIT KERNEL) MODEL: DISPELLING MISCONCEPTIONS OF IDENTIFICATION
• PREDICTION OF RECREATIONAL TRAVEL USING GENETICALLY DESIGNED REGRESSION AND TIME-DELAY NEURAL NETWORK MODELS
• SPATIAL TRANSFERABILITY OF THE ALBATROSS MODEL SYSTEM: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FROM TWO CASE STUDIES
• TRADITIONAL NEIGHBORHOODS AND AUTOMOBILE OWNERSHIP
• TRANSIT'S VALUE-ADDED EFFECTS: LIGHT AND COMMUTER RAIL SERVICES AND COMMERCIAL LAND VALUES
• TRANSPORTATION INVESTMENTS AND URBAN FORM
• UNCERTAINTY PROPAGATION IN AN INTEGRATED LAND USE-TRANSPORTATION MODELING FRAMEWORK: OUTPUT VARIATION VIA URBANSIM