00625437

Component

http://onlinepubs.trb.org...trr/1992/1349/1349-016.pdf

https://scholar.google.co...taro&publication_year=1992

Public transportation plays a significant role in the New York metropolitan region's mobility, and its relative importance as a mode of passenger transportation is unprecedented in comparison with the rest of the nation. In the year 2015 the region will be, as it is today, a multinucleic megalopolis with the Manhattan central business district (CBD) continuing to be the primary focus of economic activity, whereas the suburbs will maintain their healthy growth. The additional travel demand that will have to be satisfied by 2015 is approximately 1.8 million trips per day, which is larger than the total current ridership of some of the nation's largest transit systems. To meet the region's future mobility needs, substantial additions to existing capacity will be required, particularly since the new demand will materialize in corridors that are already operating at capacity. Three basic alternative scenarios for the future are presented. They differ in terms of the amount of investment they require and are labeled minimum, moderate, and significant. The required improvements, the costs associated with them, the possible financing strategies needed, and the impacts on the region under each scenario are presented. The approximately $3 billion that has to be spent annually on the region's public transportation systems is a challenge that can be met if all levels of government continue their funding at current levels, the farebox recovery ratio remains constant, costs are contained, and new dedicated sources of funding are tapped.

This paper appears in Transportation Research Record No. 1349, Public Transit: Management, Operations, and Planning and Development. Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved

01404978

English

p. 121-124

1992

Transportation Research Record

0309052122

References (4)

Alternatives analysis; Central business districts; Economic conditions; Economic impacts; Financing; Forecasting; Investments; Mobility; Needs assessment; Population growth; Public transit; Suburbs; Transportation; Travel demand

Economic activity; Future growth

New York Metropolitan Area

Economics; Planning and Forecasting; Transportation (General)

TRIS, TRB

Dec 2 1993 12:00AM

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