00619236

Component

https://onlinepubs.trb.or...trcircular/390/390-010.pdf

The panel on aircraft and equipment manufacture developed a 15-year forecast (1991-2005) of aircraft deliveries in the commercial jet transport market. Some of the findings of the forecast are as follows: It is likely that 1991 will be the peak delivery year for commercial jet aircraft. Annual deliveries will decline to the level of 500 to 600 by 1996 and remain in that range through 2005. During this period the average aircraft size, in terms of seats, will grow. A significant market will remain for new 120-seat aircraft to serve new secondary hubs that will be developed during the forecast period. The size of the total airline fleet is expected to grow from 8,961 at the end of 1990 to an estimated 13,730 in 2005. Aircraft retirements are expected to number 4,052 during the forecast period. The majority of these will take place in the class II aircraft group due to the large number of DC-9 and 727-100 aircraft in the present fleet. The panel felt that moderate long-term growth in the airline industry was likely.

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00619226

p. 50-53

1992-2

Transportation Research Circular

Digital/other

Tables (8)

Air transportation; Aircraft; Airlines; Decision making; Economics; Equipment; Financing; Fleet management; Forecasting; Governments; Jet propelled aircraft; Planning; Private enterprise; Size; Time duration; Urban growth; Workshops

Fleet size; Jets; Long term

Aviation; Economics; Finance; Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Society; Vehicles and Equipment

TRIS, TRB

Feb 29 1992 12:00AM

• AIRPORT AND AIRLINE SECURITY. FUTURE AVIATION ACTIVITIES: SEVENTH INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP, SEPTEMBER 12-13, 1991, WASHINGTON, D.C.
• FINANCIAL CONDITIONS AND ISSUES IN THE AIRLINE INDUSTRY. FUTURE AVIATION ACTIVITIES: SEVENTH INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP, SEPTEMBER 12-13, 1991, WASHINGTON, D.C.
• PANEL REPORT: AIRPORTS. FUTURE AVIATION ACTIVITIES: SEVENTH INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP, SEPTEMBER 12-13, 1991, WASHINGTON, D.C.
• PANEL REPORT: BUSINESS AVIATION. FUTURE AVIATION ACTIVITIES: SEVENTH INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP, SEPTEMBER 12-13, 1991, WASHINGTON, D.C.
• PANEL REPORT: INTERNATIONAL AVIATION. FUTURE AVIATION ACTIVITIES: SEVENTH INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP, SEPTEMBER 12-13, 1991, WASHINGTON, D.C.
• PANEL REPORT: LIGHT GENERAL AVIATION. FUTURE AVIATION ACTIVITIES: SEVENTH INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP, SEPTEMBER 12-13, 1991, WASHINGTON, D.C.
• PANEL REPORT: MAJOR DOMESTIC AIRLINES. FUTURE AVIATION ACTIVITIES: SEVENTH INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP, SEPTEMBER 12-13, 1991, WASHINGTON, D.C.
• PANEL REPORT: REGIONAL AIRLINES. FUTURE AVIATION ACTIVITIES: SEVENTH INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP, SEPTEMBER 12-13, 1991, WASHINGTON, D.C.
• TEN YEARS TO 2002 IN RETROSPECT. FUTURE AVIATION ACTIVITIES: SEVENTH INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP, SEPTEMBER 12-13, 1991, WASHINGTON, D.C.
• THE OVERALL ECONOMIC PICTURE. FUTURE AVIATION ACTIVITIES: SEVENTH INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP, SEPTEMBER 12-13, 1991, WASHINGTON, D.C.