00610099

Component

https://onlinepubs.trb.or...trcircular/372/372-001.pdf

In June and September 1990, the Transportation Research Board conducted a series of workshops on methods of forecasting civil aviation activity. The purpose was to examine methods and practices used by the Federal Aviation Administration and others and to identify ways in which the reliability and utility of forecast products could be improved. This is the report on the first workshop which was held on June 11 and addressed forecasting general aviation activity. In brief, the workshop found that: (1) Traditional forecasting models are valuable tools, and FAA should continue to use them in projecting future general aviation activity; (2) alternative forecasting methods can also be used to advantage; and (3) the quality and utility of general aviation data and surveys could be improved in several ways, such as revising the General Aviation Activity and Avionics Survey form, gathering activity information from aircraft operators rather than registered owners, etc.

Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.

p. 1-13

1991-6

Transportation Research Circular

Digital/other

Figures (11) ; Tables (4)

Aviation; Businesses; Forecasting; General aviation; Mathematical models; Methodology; Workshops

Models

Aviation; Highways; Planning and Forecasting

TRIS, TRB

Jun 30 1991 12:00AM

• FORECASTING CIVIL AVIATION ACTIVITY: METHODS AND APPROACHES
• FORECASTING CIVIL AVIATION ACTIVITY: METHODS AND APPROACHES. APPENDIX A - DEMOGRAPHIC FORECASTING MODELS
• FORECASTING CIVIL AVIATION ACTIVITY: METHODS AND APPROACHES. APPENDIX B - CRAF IMPACTS ON COMMERCIAL AVIATION
• FORECASTING CIVIL AVIATION ACTIVITY: METHODS AND APPROACHES. PART II - FORECASTING REGIONAL AIRLINE ACTIVITY
• FORECASTING CIVIL AVIATION ACTIVITY: METHODS AND APPROACHES. PART III - FORECASTING AIR CARRIER ACTIVITY