00492048

Component

http://onlinepubs.trb.org...trr/1989/1212/1212-012.pdf

https://scholar.google.co...ziri&publication_year=1989

This paper focuses on modeling of Kentucky's Lexington/Fayette County specialized transportation (WHEELS) monthly ridership. The 1979 through 1985 time-series data suggest an intervention model to replicate monthly ridership. The identified model successfully incorporated the lag structure and functional forms that constitute the relationships between monthly ridership and service changes, such as service area expansion and fare increase. The selected model satisfies all estimation and diagnostic requirements. Model predictions for 1985 were quite reasonable when compared with actual ridership: cyclical patterns were correctly replicated. The supremacy of intervention modeling when compared with multiple linear regression analysis was found to be in capturing ridership seasonality, properly reflecting the impact of changes in service attributes, and displaying uncorrelated residuals.

This paper appears in Transportation Research Record No. 1212, Ridesharing--Transportation Demand Management. Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved

01414066

p. 101-106

1989

Transportation Research Record

0309048109

Figures (4) ; References (21) ; Tables (1)

Fares; Forecasting; Impacts; Level of service; Mathematical models; Persons with disabilities; Ridership; Transportation

Transportation models

Fayette County (Kentucky); Lexington (Kentucky)

Fayette County (Kentucky); Lexington (Kentucky)

Planning and Forecasting; Society; Transportation (General); I72: Traffic and Transport Planning

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Mar 31 1990 12:00AM

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