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Title:

A PROBABILISTIC APPROACH FOR DETERMINING THE CHANGE INTERVAL (DISCUSSION AND CLOSURE)

Accession Number:

00474258

Record Type:

Component

Availability:

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Order URL: http://worldcat.org/isbn/0309040639

Abstract:

Determination of the change interval is a crucial step in signal timing. In the recommendations of the Institute of Traffic Engineers for determining the change interval, the length of the yellow light is so calculated that the "reasonable" driver can pass the stop line before the onset of the red light. Field data show that the normative, reasonable driver model fails empirically, particularly at low approach speeds. The common approach to determine the change interval fails to consider the possibility of rear-end accidents. It does not offer rational, empirical measures for evaluating the joint risk of right-angle and rear-end collisions for various durations of change intervals and for different combinations of yellow and red clearance intervals. A proposed alternative approach relies on the stopping probability function of traffic at the intersection approach. It is shown that the range of the indecision zone that can be inferred from the stopping probability function is related to the risk of rear-end accidents. Similarly, the stopping function and the speed distribution are related to the risk of right-angle collisions. Finally, it is demonstrated how the concepts of stopping probability function and indecision zone might be used in practice to determine the change interval.

Supplemental Notes:

Publication of this paper sponsored by Committee on Traffic Control Devices. Publication of this paper sponsored by Committee on Traffic Control Devices. Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved

Monograph Accession #:

00490259

Report/Paper Numbers:

HS-040 097

Authors:

Mahalel, David
Zaidel, David

Discussers:

Stein, Howard

Pagination:

p. 39-45

Publication Date:

1986

Serial:

Transportation Research Record

Issue Number: 1069
Publisher: Transportation Research Board
ISSN: 0361-1981

ISBN:

0-309-04063-9

Features:

Figures (5) ; References (27)

Uncontrolled Terms:

Old TRIS Terms:

Subject Areas:

Data and Information Technology; Highways; Operations and Traffic Management; Safety and Human Factors; I73: Traffic Control

Files:

HSL, TRIS, TRB

Created Date:

Oct 31 1990 12:00AM

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