00458057

Component

http://onlinepubs.trb.org...trr/1985/1046/1046-011.pdf

https://scholar.google.co...OGAN&publication_year=1985

The major findings of research on the work-based shopping behavior of central business district (CBD) employees are described. Using survey data collected in Boston, Massachusetts, a system of econometric models was developed to test hypotheses about work-based shopping behavior and to provide a tool for evaluating the retail impacts of new downtown development. The research demonstrates the importance of employee shopping trips to the downtown economy; the average employee expenditure in 1982 dollars was $1,540, and the total employee contribution in downtown Boston was roughly $546 million per year. The model system provides a useful tool for forecasting the CBD retail sales that will be generated by employees in proposed new developments. Model estimation has also revealed that shopping behavior is sensitive to the number and location of shopping and lunch opportunities available and the models have been used to forecast the effect on retail sales of proposed new retail development. Characteristics of the employee, sex, income, and occupation can also explain differences in trip rates and expenditure amounts. This is of particular importance because of changes that are occurring in the composition of the CBD work force. The applicability of the model system for analysis of development impacts is demonstrated by example applications. The paper concludes with a discussion of the strengths, weaknesses, and general capabilities of the model system in the context of planning and policy analysis.

Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved. Publication of this paper sponsored by Committee on Social, Economic and Environmental Factors of Transportation.

01419436

pp 70-76

1985

Transportation Research Record

0309039622

Print

Figures (1) ; References (5) ; Tables (6)

Central business districts; Economic development; Forecasting; Market surveys; Mathematical models; Retail trade; Shopping

Economics; Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Society; I10: Economics and Administration

TRIS, TRB

Sep 30 1986 12:00AM

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