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Title:

Travel Mode and Tour Complexity: the Roles of Fuel Price and Built Environment

Accession Number:

01657885

Record Type:

Component

Abstract:

Despite steady increases in fuel economy, CO2 emissions from road transportation in Germany are on the rise, increasing by nearly 4% since 2009. This study analyzes the impact of different policy levers for bucking this trend, focusing specifically on the role of fuel prices and features of the built environment. The authors estimate two multinomial logit models, one addressing work-related tours and the other non-work related tours. Both models consider two interrelated dimensions of travel on the extensive margin: mode choice and tour complexity. The authors use the model estimates to predict outcome probabilities for different levels of the policy variables. The results suggest significant effects of the built environment -- measured by bike path density, urbanization, and proximity to public transit -- in discouraging car use and increasing tour complexity. Fuel prices, by contrast, appear to have little bearing on these choices.

Supplemental Notes:

This paper was sponsored by TRB committee A0020T Special Task Force on Climate Change and Energy.

Report/Paper Numbers:

18-04017

Language:

English

Authors:

Simora, Michael
Vance, Colin

Pagination:

16p

Publication Date:

2018

Conference:

Transportation Research Board 97th Annual Meeting

Location: Washington DC, United States
Date: 2018-1-7 to 2018-1-11
Sponsors: Transportation Research Board

Media Type:

Digital/other

Features:

Figures; References; Tables

Geographic Terms:

Germany

Subject Areas:

Economics; Environment; Highways; Planning and Forecasting

Source Data:

Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting 2018 Paper #18-04017

Files:

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Created Date:

Jan 8 2018 11:00AM