01630030

Component

This paper explores the network-wide impacts of withdrawal to public transport (train, tram and bus) on traffic congestion in Melbourne, Australia. A primary survey which aimed to investigate the mode shift of users when each public transport mode ceases in the short term was conducted with 648 public transport users in May 2016. The findings showed that train withdrawal are expected to result in 43% of users shifting to car. Smaller yet significant shifts to car are also expected with bus withdrawal (34%) and tram withdrawal (17%). Based on the survey results and the use of a four-step transport model, train withdrawal are expected to increase the number of severely congested road links by 130% and reduce the average travel speed from 48km/h to 39km/h (20% decrease). Bus and tram withdrawal are also found to increase congestion although the results are less severe. Future research should look to adopt a larger sample size and explore the long-term effects of public transport withdrawal.

This paper was sponsored by TRB committee AP025 Standing Committee on Public Transportation Planning and Development. Alternate title: Exploring Impact of Public Transport Strikes on Travel Behavior and Traffic Congestion.

01618707

17-01456

English

15p

2017

Transportation Research Board 96th Annual Meeting

Digital/other

Figures; Maps; References; Tables

Modal shift; Public transit; Service disruption; Strikes; Surveys; Traffic congestion; Traffic speed; Transit riders; Travel behavior

Melbourne (Australia)

Passenger Transportation; Planning and Forecasting; Public Transportation

Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting 2017 Paper #17-01456

PRP, TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Dec 8 2016 10:28AM