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Title:

Identifying the Critical Factors for High Transit Patronage in Tokyo: A Historical Analysis of Travel Demand from 1920 to 2010

Accession Number:

01557824

Record Type:

Component

Availability:

Transportation Research Board Business Office

500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC 20001 United States

Abstract:

This study analyzes the critical factors that have affected the trends of urban transportation in Tokyo, using statistical data for the period from 1920 to 2010. Direct demand models for public transportation (PT) ridership and car/motorbike ownership are estimated, with the service levels of transportation, urban form, and socio-economics being incorporated as explanatory variables. The results are summarized as follows: (1) the subway-supply elasticity of subway ridership was much higher than other-PT elasticities of PT ridership during the postwar period; (2) the road supply negatively influenced railway and subway ridership in the long run, and yet, this influence disappeared during the postwar period; (3) the parking supply had positive impacts on bus and tram ridership; (4) public transportation strongly influenced car/motorbike ownership while private transportation weakly influenced public transportation ridership; (5) the population centrality in the ward area had a negative impact on car/motorbike ownership; (6) gross regional product (GRP) per capita had a strong impact on car/motorbike ownership; (7) the share of workers in the financial and manufacturing industries and the share of the population aged 15-39 had positive impacts on public transportation ridership; and (8) the share of workers in manufacturing industry also had a positive impact on car/motorbike ownership. In particular, it is highlighted that the subways successfully utilized the existing rail stocks when they were introduced to urban transportation in Tokyo, resulting in high performance.

Supplemental Notes:

This paper was sponsored by TRB committee ADB10 Traveler Behavior and Values.

Monograph Accession #:

01550057

Report/Paper Numbers:

15-4123

Language:

English

Corporate Authors:

Transportation Research Board

500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC 20001 United States

Authors:

Abe, Ryosuke
Kato, Hironori

Pagination:

16p

Publication Date:

2015

Conference:

Transportation Research Board 94th Annual Meeting

Location: Washington DC, United States
Date: 2015-1-11 to 2015-1-15
Sponsors: Transportation Research Board

Media Type:

Digital/other

Features:

Figures; References; Tables

Geographic Terms:

Tokyo (Japan)

Subject Areas:

Highways; History; Planning and Forecasting; Public Transportation; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning

Source Data:

Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting 2015 Paper #15-4123

Files:

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Created Date:

Dec 30 2014 1:21PM