01514299

Component

This paper presents a methodology to distribute the Traffic Analysis Zone (TAZ) level synthesized households and their members to parcels according to the household and parcel attributes. Three Multinomial Logit (MNL) models are estimated to represent the residence location association of households and land parcels. The estimated models are then used in an algorithm that assigns three different types of households to locations in the Los Angeles County. Daily Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) of each household is assigned in this way to the parcel each household is assigned to using the algorithm. The method illustrated here shows the feasibility of doing this assignment using millions of parcels and households. It also shows the results are reasonable and the authors are able to estimate VMT at specific locations and for spatially disaggregate jurisdictions enabling the assessment of policies at very fine levels of resolution. In addition, these findings and related maps challenge the claim that central city residents travel less miles and suburban residents travel more.

This paper was sponsored by TRB committee ADB40 Transportation Demand Forecasting. Alternate title: Residential Geolocation of Households in Large-Scale Activity-Based Microsimulation Model and Development of High-Definition Spatial Distribution of Vehicle Miles Traveled.

01503729

14-0499

English

0000-0002-0715-8121

23p

2014

Transportation Research Board 93rd Annual Meeting

Digital/other

Figures; References; Tables

Households; Microsimulation; Multinomial logits; Residential location; Traffic distribution; Vehicle miles of travel

Los Angeles County (California)

Highways; Planning and Forecasting; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning

Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting 2014 Paper #14-0499

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Jan 27 2014 2:15PM