TRB Pubsindex
Text Size:

Title:

Modeling Car Ownership in Urban Areas of Developing Countries: Case Study of Bogotá, Colombia

Accession Number:

01478290

Record Type:

Component

Availability:

Transportation Research Board Business Office

500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC 20001 United States
Order URL: http://www.trb.org/Main/Blurbs/170472.aspx

Find a library where document is available


Order URL: http://worldcat.org/isbn/9780309287166

Abstract:

Determinants of household car ownership in Bogotá, Colombia, based on disaggregate data from mobility surveys in 1995 and 2005, are analyzed. The development of discrete choice models (multinomial logit and ordered logit) allows the individual effects of income, household size, and location variables to be disentangled. Results showed that income had the greatest impact on car ownership, with an aggregate-level elasticity between 0.908 and 1.110 in 1995. At the same time, the impact of other variables was relatively low, because income was a major limitation to car ownership. Analysis of behavioral changes in both years showed that distance to work had a negative effect on car ownership in 1995 but a positive effect in 2005; this result suggests an interesting area for further research. Additionally, population density was found to have a negative effect in 1995 but no effect in 2005; this change indicates an uncertain role for densification strategies to reduce car ownership. Finally, a higher quality of public transportation was found to have a generally negative effect on car ownership.

Monograph Title:

Developing Countries 2013

Monograph Accession #:

01521592

Report/Paper Numbers:

13-4689

Language:

English

Authors:

Gómez-Gélvez, Julián Andrés
Obando, Catalina

Pagination:

pp 111–118

Publication Date:

2013

Serial:

Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board

Issue Number: 2394
Publisher: Transportation Research Board
ISSN: 0361-1981

ISBN:

9780309287166

Media Type:

Print

Features:

References (17) ; Tables (7)

Geographic Terms:

Subject Areas:

Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Public Transportation; Vehicles and Equipment; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning; I90: Vehicles

Files:

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Created Date:

Feb 5 2013 12:54PM

More Articles from this Serial Issue: