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Title:

Time Series Comparison of Models of Auto and Motorcycle Ownership and Mode Choice in a Changing Transportation Environment: Jakarta, Indonesia

Accession Number:

01373296

Record Type:

Component

Availability:

Transportation Research Board Business Office

500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC 20001 United States
Order URL: http://www.trb.org/Main/Blurbs/168618.aspx

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Order URL: http://worldcat.org/isbn/9780309263153

Abstract:

This paper presents the results of models of household auto and motorcycle ownership and mode choice that were respectively developed on the basis of two large-scale travel surveys conducted nearly a decade apart. In the Jakarta, Indonesia, metropolitan area, unprecedented changes in the transportation environment, including growth in vehicle ownership and resultant changes in mode shares, occurred during this time. A time series comparison of the models was made, the implications of the major changes that occurred in Jakarta are discussed. Interpretation of the effects of different variables (including basic travel, household, and individual characteristics) in the models estimated for 2002 and 2010 led to insights relative to the changes in the transportation environment and an increase in the complexity of travel behavior. As long as the context of the society does not change, both models should remain unchanged with fixed parameters over a period of time. However, the models indicate quite different parameters with different degrees of significance. Transferability of disaggregate choice models may not always apply in developing urban areas such as Jakarta, even though the model structure remains the same. Such implications may also be worth studying for other urban areas, although similarities may be restricted to regions that share modal and cultural norms.

Monograph Title:

Developing Countries 2012

Monograph Accession #:

01474120

Report/Paper Numbers:

12-3851

Language:

English

Authors:

Yagi, Sadayuki
Nobel, Deo
Kawaguchi, Hirohisa

Pagination:

pp 40–50

Publication Date:

2012

Serial:

Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board

Issue Number: 2317
Publisher: Transportation Research Board
ISSN: 0361-1981

ISBN:

9780309263153

Media Type:

Print

Features:

Figures; References; Tables

Geographic Terms:

Jakarta (Indonesia)

Subject Areas:

Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Society; Vehicles and Equipment; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning; I90: Vehicles

Files:

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Created Date:

Feb 8 2012 5:19PM

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