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Title:

Evacuee Route Choice Decisions in a Dynamic Hurricane Evacuation Context

Accession Number:

01363208

Record Type:

Component

Availability:

Transportation Research Board Business Office

500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC 20001 United States
Order URL: http://www.trb.org/Main/Blurbs/168497.aspx

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Order URL: http://worldcat.org/isbn/9780309263108

Abstract:

Very high traffic volumes may lead to extensive congestion during hurricane evacuations. Evacuation planners reduce this congestion by careful planning for multiple hurricane scenarios and assignment of evacuation routes and timing. This planning may be for naught if obstructions block key roadways. An advanced traveler information system (ATIS) may be used to guide evacuees to alternate routes, but how effective will that guidance be? Should the use of alternate routes be encouraged? How are drivers likely to respond to delays and information? Will information shorten or improve the reliability of travel times in emergency conditions? Integration of a dynamic evacuation simulation and a decision-making model (representative of the decisions made by potential hurricane evacuees when provided with information on downstream traffic congestion and alternate routes) can help emergency planners prepare for the unexpected. Advance modeling of likely accident locations and the severity can forecast the effects of alternate route use, help determine the best locations and timing of alternate route information, and support decision making. This study integrated an evacuee route choice decision model and a mesoscopic evacuation transportation simulation for southeastern Virginia. Study results show how the effects of ATIS can be tested in advance, thus allowing more comprehensive planning by emergency management and transportation professionals. Simulations of ATIS’ effectiveness in evacuation scenarios have been largely unexplored. Methods presented can be applied in a variety of evacuation scenarios and may be of particular value to emergency planners.

Monograph Accession #:

01470175

Report/Paper Numbers:

12-3167

Language:

English

Authors:

Robinson, R Michael
Khattak, Asad

Pagination:

pp 141–149

Publication Date:

2012

Serial:

Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board

Issue Number: 2312
Publisher: Transportation Research Board
ISSN: 0361-1981

ISBN:

9780309263108

Media Type:

Print

Features:

Figures; Maps; References; Tables

Geographic Terms:

Subject Areas:

Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Security and Emergencies; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning

Files:

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Created Date:

Feb 8 2012 5:14PM

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