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Title:

Handling Bias in Transportation Forecasting

Accession Number:

01371494

Record Type:

Component

Abstract:

The paper looks at the technical and institutional factors that lead to the poor transportation forecasts frequently used to justify public sector investments and policies. It assesses the magnitude of the problem, some of the causes and in particular assesses potential remedies. A number of practical possibilities exist to reduce the problem, none of which seem likely to alleviate forecasting error, or the misuse of forecasts, but which may well reduce some of the most serious distortions.

Supplemental Notes:

This paper was sponsored by TRB committee ADB40 Transportation Demand Forecasting

Monograph Accession #:

01362476

Report/Paper Numbers:

12-2401

Language:

English

Corporate Authors:

Transportation Research Board

500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC 20001 United States

Authors:

Button, Kenneth
Benson, Brien

Pagination:

17p

Publication Date:

2012

Conference:

Transportation Research Board 91st Annual Meeting

Location: Washington DC, United States
Date: 2012-1-22 to 2012-1-26
Sponsors: Transportation Research Board

Media Type:

Digital/other

Features:

References; Tables

Subject Areas:

Planning and Forecasting; Transportation (General); I72: Traffic and Transport Planning

Source Data:

Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting 2012 Paper #12-2401

Files:

TRIS, TRB

Created Date:

Feb 8 2012 5:09PM