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Title:

Improving the Quality of Demand Forecasts Through Cross-Nested Logit: A Stated-Choice Case Study of Airport, Airline, and Access Mode Choice

Accession Number:

01151033

Record Type:

Component

Availability:

Transportation Research Board Business Office

500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC 20001 United States

Abstract:

Airport choice models have been used extensively in recent years to determine the transport planning impacts of large metropolitan areas. Given that passengers are increasingly willing to travel further to access airports, this case study uses broader, regional data from the East Coast of the United States collected through a stated choice based air travel survey. The study makes use of a Cross-Nested Logit (CNL) structure that allows for the joint representation of inter-alternative correlation along the three choice dimensions of airport, airline and access mode choice. The analysis shows not only significant gains in model fit when moving to this more advanced nesting structure, but also great gains in forecasting realism as a result of the more appropriate cross-elasticity assumptions.

Monograph Accession #:

01147878

Report/Paper Numbers:

10-3008

Language:

English

Corporate Authors:

Transportation Research Board

500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC 20001 United States

Authors:

Hess, Stephane
Ryley, Tim John
Davison, Lisa Jane
Adler, Thomas Jay

Pagination:

20p

Publication Date:

2010

Conference:

Transportation Research Board 89th Annual Meeting

Location: Washington DC, United States
Date: 2010-1-10 to 2010-1-14
Sponsors: Transportation Research Board

Media Type:

DVD

Features:

Figures (4) ; References; Tables

Subject Areas:

Aviation; Planning and Forecasting; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning

Source Data:

Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting 2010 Paper #10-3008

Files:

TRIS, TRB

Created Date:

Jan 25 2010 11:28AM