TRB Pubsindex
Text Size:

Title:

Scenarios for Future Urbanization: Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Passenger Travel in Three Indian Cities

Accession Number:

01155440

Record Type:

Component

Availability:

Transportation Research Board Business Office

500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC 20001 United States
Order URL: http://www.trb.org/Main/Blurbs/Developing_Countries_2010_164975.aspx

Find a library where document is available


Order URL: http://worldcat.org/isbn/9780309160681

Abstract:

The growth of motorization and travel activity associated with India’s rapid urban development has serious implications for global climate change. Effective mitigation action requires comprehension of the scale of the problem. Data limitations, however, have thus far constrained efforts to understand how changes in demographics, travel behavior, and policy might affect future emissions of greenhouse gases. This study uses recently available data on city-level travel patterns to forecast emissions from passenger transport for three metropolitan areas in India: Mumbai, Ahmedabad, and Surat. The forecasts compare carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions for three scenarios by using various mode choice and trip length assumptions. The results predict dramatic increases in emissions under all circumstances. Travel in Surat is forecast to generate between 1.9 and 9.5 million tons of CO2; in Mumbai, travel could generate 10.3 to 49 million tons. Differences, however, between scenarios suggest the potential positive effects of policy interventions. While the results help convey the magnitude of the emissions problem, further analysis requires more complete data on individual travel behavior.

Monograph Title:

Developing Countries 2010

Monograph Accession #:

01329069

Report/Paper Numbers:

10-2066

Language:

English

Authors:

Rayle, Lisa
Pai, Madhav

Pagination:

pp 124-131

Publication Date:

2010

Serial:

Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board

Issue Number: 2193
Publisher: Transportation Research Board
ISSN: 0361-1981

ISBN:

9780309160681

Media Type:

Print

Features:

References (25) ; Tables (9)

Subject Areas:

Environment; Highways; I15: Environment

Files:

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Created Date:

Jan 25 2010 10:56AM

More Articles from this Serial Issue: