TRB Pubsindex
Text Size:

Title:

Crash Prediction Modeling Down Under: Some Key Findings

Accession Number:

01123232

Record Type:

Component

Availability:

Transportation Research Board Business Office

500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC 20001 United States

Abstract:

A large number of crash prediction models have been developed in New Zealand and Australia, particularly the former, for different road elements and for different speed limits. These models provide an insight into crash causing mechanisms, which can in turn assist engineers in diagnosing safety problems. In conjunction with other road safety research (for example, results of `before and after’ studies) they can also be used to predict the change in crashes that might result from an engineering improvement, whether good or bad. The modeling methods used in New Zealand are based on best practice overseas, from the UK, Canada and the USA, with some local enhancements. An overview of the statistical methods used by Wood and Turner are outlined in this paper. The research to date has produced a number of interesting and thought provoking outcomes including the `safety-in-numbers’ effect for cyclists and pedestrians and that reducing visibility can lead to safety gains at roundabouts. Many other findings from the ‘down-under’ research are outlined in the paper.

Monograph Accession #:

01120148

Report/Paper Numbers:

09-1756

Language:

English

Corporate Authors:

Transportation Research Board

500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC 20001 United States

Authors:

Turner, Shane Alan
Wood, Graham

Pagination:

25p

Publication Date:

2009

Conference:

Transportation Research Board 88th Annual Meeting

Location: Washington DC, United States
Date: 2009-1-11 to 2009-1-15
Sponsors: Transportation Research Board

Media Type:

DVD

Features:

Figures (7) ; References; Tables (19)

Uncontrolled Terms:

Geographic Terms:

Subject Areas:

Highways; Pedestrians and Bicyclists; Safety and Human Factors; I80: Accident Studies

Source Data:

Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting 2009 Paper #09-1756

Files:

TRIS, TRB

Created Date:

Jan 30 2009 6:01PM