TRB Pubsindex
Text Size:

Title:

Performance Modeling for Asset Management: What to do when you only have two data points?

Accession Number:

01090262

Record Type:

Component

Availability:

Transportation Research Board Business Office

500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC 20001 United States

Abstract:

In many cases agencies that are embarking on implementing transportation asset management systems are faced with the challenge of lack of good time-series data for performance modeling. This paper presents one approach towards the formulation of performance prediction models that are required to support trade-off and optimization analyzes in a comprehensive transportation asset management system. The paper demonstrates that starting performance models can be formulated based on as little as two years’ network-level data on condition and traffic, for example. The paper builds a locally calibrated pavement condition index from the available falling weight deflectometer and pavement roughness (IRI) data, and subsequently uses it for network-level modeling. Optimal operational windows for preservation and rehabilitation activities can also derived from the condition data. The case study is based on Costa Rica national road network of more than 4000 km of paved roads. Further, the paper applies advanced analytical software capable of both simulating the agency’s current works programming practice and conducting comprehensive optimization. Several investment scenarios were tested to investigate the sustainability of the network asset value over time. The results demonstrate that the worst-first ranking approach leads to loss of network-level asset value (deterioration of asset conditions) while full optimization of preservation/rehab decisions at the same budget level, would result in improved asset conditions.

Monograph Accession #:

01084478

Report/Paper Numbers:

08-1616

Language:

English

Corporate Authors:

Transportation Research Board

500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC 20001 United States

Authors:

Mrawira, Donath M
Amador, Luis E

Pagination:

17p

Publication Date:

2008

Conference:

Transportation Research Board 87th Annual Meeting

Location: Washington DC, United States
Date: 2008-1-13 to 2008-1-17
Sponsors: Transportation Research Board

Media Type:

DVD

Features:

Figures (7) ; References (13) ; Tables (2)

Identifier Terms:

Uncontrolled Terms:

Geographic Terms:

Subject Areas:

Design; Highways; Pavements; I22: Design of Pavements, Railways and Guideways

Source Data:

Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting 2008 Paper #08-1616

Files:

TRIS, TRB

Created Date:

Jan 29 2008 3:57PM