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Title:

What’s wrong with freight models, and what should we do about it?

Accession Number:

01388183

Record Type:

Component

Availability:

Transportation Research Board Business Office

500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC 20001 United States

Abstract:

After many years of neglect, freight, freight operations, and commodity flow models are now attracting substantial attention, and there is a wide perception among transportation analysts that they all need a careful overhaul. In this paper the range of applications and issues associated with different forms of freight model are considered. Confusion about what one can do with a given model is often founded on a lack of transparency as to the domain of application for which the model was originally designed and set up. In this paper the authors offer a framework for placing existing freight models in the context of both the temporal targets and the valid domains of application for which they were originally developed. A conclusion of this exercise is that, while existing freight models are simply not up to the task of forecasting future freight activity, there are a number of uses for which these models are well suited. This includes the ability to “predict the present”, an objective and also a technical challenge that has been much under-rated to date. The appropriate action is to assess what the user feel is missing, and to rebalance research efforts to match.

Monograph Accession #:

01388576

Language:

English

Corporate Authors:

Transportation Research Board

500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC 20001 United States

Authors:

Wigan, M R
Southworth, F

Pagination:

19p

Publication Date:

2006

Conference:

Transportation Research Board 85th Annual Meeting

Location: Washington DC, United States
Date: 2006-1-22 to 2006-1-26
Sponsors: Transportation Research Board

Subject Areas:

Freight Transportation; Operations and Traffic Management

Source Agency:

ARRB

Melbourne, Victoria Australia

Files:

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Created Date:

Aug 23 2012 12:40AM

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