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Title: FORECASTING INTERURBAN RAIL TRIPS: AN OVERVIEW OF TWO SCENARIOS
Accession Number: 00939779
Record Type: Component
Availability: Transportation Research Board Business Office 500 Fifth Street, NW Abstract: Over the last few years, there have been numerous studies examining potential rail corridors in the 25-100 mile range. Proposed technologies for these corridors include both light and commuter rail. Since these corridors usually traverse more than one metropolitan area, a single regional forecasting model often will not adequately estimate patronage for the entire corridor. At the other extreme, these corridors are also too "short" for an "intercity" forecasting model. Since project resources usually do not allow for the development of an entirely new travel model, the approach must rely heavily on proven models and forecasting methods with existing, readily available data. One approach is to estimate rail patronage by splitting the travel market into two segments according to trip characteristics. The "urban" market includes travel within metropolitan areas. Rail service in this market functions as a "premium" transit service between residential areas and major employment, shopping and other destinations in each urban area. Each region's existing travel model is applied to trips for this market. The "interurban" market includes travel between metropolitan areas and intermediate destinations. Rail service in this market functions like a traditional "interurban" service for exurban commuters, business travel, and other "discretionary" trips. A new model is developed for this market, incorporating elements of intercity and urban travel models. Thus, the approach is two-tiered and is geared to each market. This paper presents an overview of how the approach was applied in two rail corridors: Philadelphia-Reading and Austin-San Antonio.
Supplemental Notes: The CD-ROM contains the proceedings of the sixth, seventh and eighth conferences. The seventh conference proceedings were published in September 1999.
Monograph Title: Monograph Accession #: 00939750
Language: English
Corporate Authors: Transportation Research Board 500 Fifth Street, NW Authors: COLEMAN, P JEditors: Donnelly, RPagination: p. 358-366
Publication Date: 2002
Conference:
Seventh TRB Conference on the Application of Transportation Planning Methods
Location:
Boston, Massachusetts Features: Tables
(3)
TRT Terms: Uncontrolled Terms: Subject Areas: Highways; Operations and Traffic Management; Passenger Transportation; Planning and Forecasting; Public Transportation; Railroads; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning
Files: TRIS, TRB
Created Date: Mar 18 2003 12:00AM
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