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Title:

FORECASTING INTERURBAN RAIL TRIPS: AN OVERVIEW OF TWO SCENARIOS
Cover of FORECASTING INTERURBAN RAIL TRIPS: AN OVERVIEW OF TWO SCENARIOS

Accession Number:

00939779

Record Type:

Component

Availability:

Transportation Research Board Business Office

500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC 20001 United States

Abstract:

Over the last few years, there have been numerous studies examining potential rail corridors in the 25-100 mile range. Proposed technologies for these corridors include both light and commuter rail. Since these corridors usually traverse more than one metropolitan area, a single regional forecasting model often will not adequately estimate patronage for the entire corridor. At the other extreme, these corridors are also too "short" for an "intercity" forecasting model. Since project resources usually do not allow for the development of an entirely new travel model, the approach must rely heavily on proven models and forecasting methods with existing, readily available data. One approach is to estimate rail patronage by splitting the travel market into two segments according to trip characteristics. The "urban" market includes travel within metropolitan areas. Rail service in this market functions as a "premium" transit service between residential areas and major employment, shopping and other destinations in each urban area. Each region's existing travel model is applied to trips for this market. The "interurban" market includes travel between metropolitan areas and intermediate destinations. Rail service in this market functions like a traditional "interurban" service for exurban commuters, business travel, and other "discretionary" trips. A new model is developed for this market, incorporating elements of intercity and urban travel models. Thus, the approach is two-tiered and is geared to each market. This paper presents an overview of how the approach was applied in two rail corridors: Philadelphia-Reading and Austin-San Antonio.

Supplemental Notes:

The CD-ROM contains the proceedings of the sixth, seventh and eighth conferences. The seventh conference proceedings were published in September 1999.

Monograph Accession #:

00939750

Language:

English

Corporate Authors:

Transportation Research Board

500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC 20001 United States

Authors:

COLEMAN, P J

Editors:

Donnelly, R

Pagination:

p. 358-366

Publication Date:

2002

Conference:

Seventh TRB Conference on the Application of Transportation Planning Methods

Location: Boston, Massachusetts
Date: 1999-3-7 to 1999-3-11
Sponsors: Transportation Research Board; Commonwealth of Massachusetts, Executive Office of Transportation and Construction; and Boston Metropolitan Planning Organization.

Features:

Tables (3)

Uncontrolled Terms:

Subject Areas:

Highways; Operations and Traffic Management; Passenger Transportation; Planning and Forecasting; Public Transportation; Railroads; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning

Files:

TRIS, TRB

Created Date:

Mar 18 2003 12:00AM

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