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Title:

FORECASTING PARATRANSIT RIDERSHIP USING DISCRETE CHOICE MODELS WITH EXPLICIT CONSIDERATION OF AVAILABILITY

Accession Number:

00755067

Record Type:

Component

Availability:

Transportation Research Board Business Office

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Washington, DC 20001 United States

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Order URL: http://worldcat.org/isbn/0309064643

Abstract:

In most developed countries, the population of the elderly and disabled is growing rapidly. These individuals require transportation service suited to their needs. Such service may be provided by applying emerging technologies to dial-a-ride transit. This research develops a methodology to quantitatively evaluate the impact of paratransit services on a traveler's mode choice behavior. The mode choice model explicitly considers availability of alternative modes and includes latent factors to account for taste heterogeneity. Stated preferences are also used to elicit preferences for new paratransit services. The methodology is empirically tested with data collected in Winston-Salem, North Carolina. The model system developed is applied to evaluate the effect of improving service attributes and the impact of the introduction of new cost-effective modes on modal shares. Results of the policy analysis indicate that (a) transit policy changes, such as fare reduction, would have little effect on automobile driver and automobile passenger shares; (b) an improved reservation system for dial-a-ride services would produce shifts in mode share; (c) the proposed new bus deviation service was favored; (d) free bus service reduces dial-a-ride share; and (e) an increase in awareness of a dial-a-ride system would significantly increase its share.

Supplemental Notes:

This paper appears in Transportation Research Record No. 1618, Transit: Planning, Management, Marketing, New Technology, Capacity, and Quality of Service.

Language:

English

Corporate Authors:

Transportation Research Board

500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC 20001 United States

Authors:

Benjamin, J
Kurauchi, S
Morikawa, T
Polydoropoulou, A
Sasaki, K
Ben-Akiva, Moshe

Pagination:

p. 60-65

Publication Date:

1998

Serial:

Transportation Research Record

Issue Number: 1618
Publisher: Transportation Research Board
ISSN: 0361-1981

ISBN:

0309064643

Features:

Figures (1) ; References (16) ; Tables (6)

Uncontrolled Terms:

Geographic Terms:

Subject Areas:

Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Policy; Public Transportation; Society

Files:

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Created Date:

Oct 14 1998 12:00AM

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