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Title: FORECASTING PARATRANSIT RIDERSHIP USING DISCRETE CHOICE MODELS WITH EXPLICIT CONSIDERATION OF AVAILABILITY
Accession Number: 00755067
Record Type: Component
Record URL: Availability: Transportation Research Board Business Office 500 Fifth Street, NW Find a library where document is available Abstract: In most developed countries, the population of the elderly and disabled is growing rapidly. These individuals require transportation service suited to their needs. Such service may be provided by applying emerging technologies to dial-a-ride transit. This research develops a methodology to quantitatively evaluate the impact of paratransit services on a traveler's mode choice behavior. The mode choice model explicitly considers availability of alternative modes and includes latent factors to account for taste heterogeneity. Stated preferences are also used to elicit preferences for new paratransit services. The methodology is empirically tested with data collected in Winston-Salem, North Carolina. The model system developed is applied to evaluate the effect of improving service attributes and the impact of the introduction of new cost-effective modes on modal shares. Results of the policy analysis indicate that (a) transit policy changes, such as fare reduction, would have little effect on automobile driver and automobile passenger shares; (b) an improved reservation system for dial-a-ride services would produce shifts in mode share; (c) the proposed new bus deviation service was favored; (d) free bus service reduces dial-a-ride share; and (e) an increase in awareness of a dial-a-ride system would significantly increase its share.
Supplemental Notes: This paper appears in Transportation Research Record No. 1618, Transit: Planning, Management, Marketing, New Technology, Capacity, and Quality of Service.
Language: English
Corporate Authors: Transportation Research Board 500 Fifth Street, NW Authors: Benjamin, JKurauchi, SMorikawa, TPolydoropoulou, ASasaki, KBen-Akiva, MoshePagination: p. 60-65
Publication Date: 1998
Serial: ISBN: 0309064643
Features: Figures
(1)
; References
(16)
; Tables
(6)
TRT Terms: Uncontrolled Terms: Geographic Terms: Old TRIS Terms: Subject Areas: Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Policy; Public Transportation; Society
Files: TRIS, TRB, ATRI
Created Date: Oct 14 1998 12:00AM
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