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Title:

SELECTION OF HIGHWAY DESIGN PARAMETERS IN THE PRESENCE OF UNCERTAINTY

Accession Number:

00714937

Record Type:

Component

Availability:

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Order URL: http://worldcat.org/isbn/0309061636

Abstract:

AASHTO guidelines on highway design have drawn criticism for their inability to deal with the uncertainty of traffic operations, costs, and physical constraints. Some analysts believe that in light of changing economic and socio-environmental values, new procedures are needed to better address uncertainties and to justify engineering decisions. An analytical model that could be used to determine the optimal design curvature for horizontal curves on two-lane highways is presented. The optimal curvature results in the minimum total cost, defined as the sum of construction, maintenance, and expected user costs. The expected user cost is the sum of expected accident, travel time, and vehicle operating costs. It is shown that: (a) optimal design curvature is highly sensitive to the skewness of the probability distribution of the required curvature; (b) when the mean operating speed is high, optimal design curvature does not change significantly with the changes of standard deviation of speeds compared with the low mean operating speed; and (c) when the mean operating speed is low, the polynomial model best represents the relationship between optimal design curvature and the standard deviation of the operating speeds. When the mean operating speed is high, the linear model best represents the relationship between optimal design curvature and the standard deviation of the operating speeds. The application of the model and sensitivity of the optimum to model parameters are illustrated using numerical examples.

Supplemental Notes:

This paper appears in Transportation Research Record No. 1497, Artificial Intelligence and Geographical Information. Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved

Monograph Accession #:

01399824

Language:

English

Authors:

Islam, M Nazrul
Seneviratne, P N

Pagination:

p. 1-9

Publication Date:

1995

Serial:

Transportation Research Record

Issue Number: 1497
Publisher: Transportation Research Board
ISSN: 0361-1981

ISBN:

0309061636

Features:

Figures (6) ; References (22) ; Tables (2)

Old TRIS Terms:

Subject Areas:

Design; Highways; I20: Design and Planning of Transport Infrastructure

Files:

TRIS, TRB

Created Date:

Dec 20 1995 12:00AM

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