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Title:

ALCOHOL RESEARCH FOR A DISTANT FUTURE

Accession Number:

00633288

Record Type:

Component

Availability:

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Order URL: http://worldcat.org/issn/00978515

Abstract:

To develop a research agenda for the 1990s on alcohol and other drugs in transportation we must pass beyond what we would like to know today. The research agenda may be funded by the mid-1990s, but won't be completed until later in the decade and will have little impact until the 21st century. So we must project into the future: what will the problems of impaired driving and other transportation impairment look like after the year 2000 and what will we need to know to address them? This paper first examines the problem of alcohol and drug impairment, then looks at each of six areas (people; impairing substances; transportation; laws, enforcement, and sanctions; education; and technology) for predictable changes. The discussion then turns to unpredictable changes and how strategic planning addresses the uncertainties of the future by using scenarios. Approaches to developing scenarios are then examined, and issues that may be critical to impaired driving policies are discussed to show how scenario contruction works. Concluding comments look at what alcohol and drug problems may entail in the 21st century.

Supplemental Notes:

This paper appears as Appendix D1 in Transportation Research Circular No. 408, Alcohol and Other Drugs in Transportation: Research Needs for the Next Decade. Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.

Monograph Accession #:

00633287

Language:

English

Corporate Authors:

Transportation Research Board

500 Fifth Street, NW
Washington, DC 20001 United States

Authors:

Hedlund, J
NASH, C E

Pagination:

p. 25-30

Publication Date:

1993-6

Serial:

Transportation Research Circular

Issue Number: 408
Publisher: Transportation Research Board
ISSN: 0097-8515

Media Type:

Digital/other

Old TRIS Terms:

Subject Areas:

Research; Safety and Human Factors; Transportation (General); I83: Accidents and the Human Factor

Files:

TRIS, TRB

Created Date:

Jun 11 1996 12:00AM

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