00625128

Component

http://onlinepubs.trb.org...trr/1992/1341/1341-003.pdf

https://scholar.google.co...keye&publication_year=1992

Three high-speed rail (HSR) technologies were examined in the corridor connecting Minneapolis-St. Paul to Madison, Milwaukee, and Chicago. Travel characteristics in the existing market show the predominance of the air and automobile modes for nonbusiness purposes. Projected travel times for the 185-mph Train a Grand Vitesse and 300-mph magnetic levitation trains show that rail could be competitive with air depending on origination and termination points of a given traveler. An analysis was conducted of the various HSR alternatives and their effect on projected air traffic from Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport (MSP) to Madison, Milwaukee, and Chicago. The results indicate that although HSR could divert 17 to 33% of air passenger traffic in the corridor and 12 to 21% of aircraft operations, total impact on passenger movements and aircraft operations at MSP would range from 1 to 2%. Whereas capital costs for an HSR system range from nearly $1 billion to more than $5.4 billion depending on the technology, consumer and community benefits range from $8 billion to $10 billion. Projected annual ridership and revenue would cover operating and maintenance costs for any of the rail technologies considered. Despite apparently low impacts on airport operations at MSP, cumulative benefits of HSR to the Minneapolis-St. Paul metro area and the upper midwest should be weighed against the socioeconomic, environmental, and financial costs of airport relocations. Airport and rail operations concepts and strategies may work in concert to significantly extend the life of MSP.

This paper appears in Transportation Research Record No. 1341, Railroad Issues. Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved

01404968

English

p. 19-27

1992

Transportation Research Record

0309052076

Figures (4) ; References (5) ; Tables (5)

Air traffic; Air transportation; Benefits; Capital costs; Competition; Forecasting; High speed rail; Impacts; Maintenance management; Operating costs; Revenues; Ridership

Maintenance costs

Chicago (Illinois); Madison (Wisconsin); Milwaukee (Wisconsin); Twin Cities Metropolitan Area (Minnesota)

Chicago (Illinois); Madison (Wisconsin); Milwaukee (Wisconsin); Twin Cities Metropolitan Area (Minnesota)

Aviation; Finance; Highways; Operations and Traffic Management; Passenger Transportation; Planning and Forecasting; Railroads

TRIS, TRB

Oct 19 1993 12:00AM

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• FORECASTING HIGH-SPEED RAIL RIDERSHIP
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