00477414

Component

http://onlinepubs.trb.org...trr/1988/1158/1158-006.pdf

https://scholar.google.co...aria&publication_year=1988

Described are the development and application of a statistical model for estimating aircraft operations at nontowered airports in the Delaware Valley Region. The model produces daily, seasonal, and annual operations based on a sample of 8 weeks of counts at each airport. A stratified cluster sample of departure counts by type of aircraft, such as single and multiengine, jet, and helicopter, was obtained from a survey that sampled 11 airports for 2 weeks in each of the 1986 seasons. The traffic demand counts were collected by means of an acoustical activity counter, which records aircraft noise at takeoffs or other activities. The model was tested with actual count data for two towered airports. The sensitivity tests indicated that the model produces good results based on survey data obtained from an 8-week sample selected at random at each airport. The margins of error in the estimates of annual operations at the airports surveyed are generally small, ranging from 9 to 21 percent of the estimated operations. These estimates are being used for managerial and oeprational decisions, and for long-range traffic demand projections to update the Regional Airport System Plan for the Delaware Valley Region.

Publication of this paper sponsored by Committee on Airfield and Airspace Capacity and Delay. Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved

01492599

pp 37-46

1988

Transportation Research Record

030904667X

Print

Figures (4) ; Maps (1) ; References (12) ; Tables (5)

Accuracy; Airports; Decision making; Estimating; Mathematical models; Operations; Travel demand

Nontowered airports

Delaware Valley Region

Delaware Valley Region

Administration and Management; Aviation; Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Terminals and Facilities

TRIS, TRB

Nov 30 1988 12:00AM

• AN IDEALIZED MODEL FOR UNDERSTANDING IMPACTS OF KEY NETWORK PARAMETERS ON AIRLINE ROUTING
• DEFINING THE PHILADELPHIA REGIONAL RELIEVER AIRPORT SYSTEM
• DYNAMIC FORECASTING OF DEMAND AND SUPPLY IN NONSTOP AIR ROUTES
• IDENTIFYING POTENTIAL FUNDING SOURCES FOR AIRPORT CAPITAL IMPROVEMENTS
• WEATHER BRIEFING USE AND FATAL WEATHER ACCIDENTS