00469103

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http://onlinepubs.trb.org...trr/1987/1125/1125-005.pdf

https://scholar.google.co...ster&publication_year=1987

Changes in transport are likely to produce changes in land use, and these long-term effects of transport policy may be of considerable potential importance. Ultimately, progress in estimating and predicting these effects will depend on the development of reliable, quantitative models that embody two-way interaction between land use and transport. During the past decade or so a number of such models have been developed and have been used for policy testing and planning. Validation of these models is difficult because of the long time scales over which their mechanisms operate, and the Transport and Road Research Laboratory has initiated an international collaboration of seven countries to try to assess the plausibility of nine models by a comparative analysis of their structure and performance. The first phase of this study is now almost complete, and the International Study Group on Land-Use/Transport Interaction is about to publish its report in which the methodologies of the models are discussed and their behavior is compared when applied to a set of more than 40 standardized tests involving changes in population growth and composition, changes in the distribution of employment and shops, changes in travel costs and the transport network, and different sequences of transport investment. This paper contains a description of the study, a brief review of the models, discussion of results from a handful of the tests, and some general comments on the findings.

Publication of this paper sponsored by Committee on Transportation and Land Development. Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved

01418109

pp 29-38

1987

Transportation Research Record

0309045061

Print

Figures (3) ; References (13) ; Tables (3)

Alternatives analysis; Cooperation; Employment; International; International compacts; Investments; Land use; Mathematical models; Population growth; Transportation; Transportation policy; Travel budgets; Travel costs

Comparative analysis; Interaction; Transportation models

Administration and Management; Economics; Planning and Forecasting; Society; Transportation (General); I10: Economics and Administration

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Jun 30 1988 12:00AM

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