00389950

Component

http://onlinepubs.trb.org...s/trr/1983/944/944-006.pdf

https://scholar.google.co...eveu&publication_year=1983

The development of a quick-response method to forecast traffic volumes at project sites located on the rural highway network is discussed. By using travel data from New York State's continuous count stations in rural locations and various state-, county-, and town-level demographic data, a set of elasticity-based models is derived. These models can forecast future year annual average daily traffic (AADT) as a function of base year AADT modified by various demographic factors. These models are estimated based on the type of service the roadway carries: interurban, urban to rural, and rural to rural. Nomographs and a user's manual that describes a simple seven-step process to use the model were developed and distributed to regional offices throughout New York State. (Author)

Publication of this paper sponsored by Committee on Passenger Travel Demand Forecasting. Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved

00395366

pp 47-53

1983

Transportation Research Record

0309036658

Print

Figures (4) ; Maps (1) ; References (4)

Average daily traffic; Forecasting; Intercity transportation; Networks; Nomographs; Roads; Rural highways; Traffic volume

Road networks

Highways; Planning and Forecasting; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning

TRIS, TRB

Nov 30 1984 12:00AM

• Bus, Taxi, and Walk Frequency Models that Account for Sample Selectivity and Simultaneous Equation Bias
• DEVELOPMENT OF A TRAVEL-DEMAND MODEL SET FOR THE NEW ORLEANS REGION
• DEVELOPMENT OF SURVEY INSTRUMENTS SUITABLE FOR DETERMINING NONHOME ACTIVITY PATTERNS
• EFFECT OF SAMPLE SIZE ON DISAGGREGATE CHOICE MODEL ESTIMATION AND PREDICTION
• EQUILIBRIUM TRAFFIC ASSIGNMENT ON AN AGGREGATED HIGHWAY NETWORK FOR SKETCH PLANNING
• ESTIMATING TRIP TABLES FROM TRAFFIC COUNTS: COMPARATIVE EVALUATION OF AVAILABLE TECHNIQUES
• ESTIMATION AND USE OF DYNAMIC TRANSACTION MODELS OF AUTOMOBILE OWNERSHIP
• EXPERIMENTS WITH OPTIMAL SAMPLING FOR MULTINOMIAL LOGIT MODELS
• IDENTIFYING TIME AND HISTORY DEPENDENCIES OF ACTIVITY CHOICE
• MAXIMUM-LIKELIHOOD AND BAYESIAN METHODS FOR THE ESTIMATION OF ORIGIN-DESTINATION FLOWS
• MOBILITY ENTERPRISE: ONE YEAR LATER
• NETWORK DESIGN APPLICATION OF AN EXTRACTION ALGORITHM FOR NETWORK AGGREGATION
• PERSON-CATEGORY TRIP-GENERATION MODEL
• PROCEDURE FOR PREDICTING QUEUES AND DELAYS ON EXPRESSWAYS IN URBAN CORE AREAS
• RESPONDENT TRIP FREQUENCY BIAS IN ON-BOARD SURVEYS
• SEQUENTIAL, HISTORY-DEPENDENT APPROACH TO TRIP-CHAINING BEHAVIOR
• SOME CONTRARY INDICATIONS FOR THE USE OF HOUSEHOLD STRUCTURE IN TRIP-GENERATION ANALYSIS
• TRIP DISTRIBUTION USING COMPOSITE IMPEDANCE
• TRIP GENERATION BY CROSS-CLASSIFICATION: AN ALTERNATIVE METHODOLOGY
• TRIP TABLE SYNTHESIS FOR CBD NETWORKS: EVALUATION OF THE LINKOD MODEL