00387634

Component

http://onlinepubs.trb.org...s/trr/1983/936/936-007.pdf

https://scholar.google.co...lack&publication_year=1983

The Reagan Administration's proposal to phase out federal transit operating subsidies by 1985 has prompted a range of forecasts, some predicting that the transit industry will become more efficient and productive while others portend a much grimmer future. The ultimate effects of the federal cuts depend largely on the actions transit agencies take to make up lost dollars-fare increases, service cuts, increased local/state financing, or in-house efficiency improvements. Probable fare, service, and equity effects of the federal cuts among different types of transit operators are examined. A national survey of 99 transit agencies is used to develop a scenario of how federal cuts will affect transit operators. Overall, it is expected that fares will increase about 7 percent, service will decrease approximately 3 percent, and ridership will decline approximately 6 percent because of the federal cuts. Moreover, the poor will bear the brunt of fare increases, service cuts, and increased local and state taxes caused by the phaseout of federal operating assistance.

Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved. Publication of this paper sponsored by Committee on Public Transportation Planning and Development.

01420436

pp 25-31

1983

Transportation Research Record

0309036526

Print

Figures (1) ; References (11) ; Tables (5)

Elasticity (Economics); Equity; Fares; Federal government; Financing; Low income groups; Public transit; Service discontinuance; Subsidies

Administration and Management; Economics; Finance; Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Public Transportation; Society; I10: Economics and Administration

TRIS, TRB

Sep 28 1984 12:00AM

• AN ANALYSIS OF LOCAL TAXPAYERS' WILLINGNESS TO FINANCE TRANSIT
• ASSESSING SOFTWARE TO MEET THE FINANCIAL PLANNING NEEDS OF TRANSIT OPERATORS (ABRIDGMENT)
• COMPUTERIZED MANAGEMENT INFORMATION SYSTEMS FOR TRANSIT SERVICES IN SMALL URBAN AND RURAL AREAS
• EMPIRICAL MODELING AND FORECASTING OF MONTHLY TRANSIT REVENUE FOR FINANCIAL PLANNING: A CASE STUDY OF SCRTD IN LOS ANGELES
• FACTORS INFLUENCING TRANSIT USE IN EUROPEAN AND U.S. CITIES
• HOW TO AVOID THE IMPENDING DISASTER IN PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION FINANCING
• INFORMATION-RELATED NEEDS IN THE TRANSIT INDUSTRY (ABRIDGMENT)
• LOW COST PLANNING TECHNIQUES FOR ASSESSING RURAL TRANSPORTATION NEEDS
• MANAGING TRANSIT COORDINATION IN THE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA (ABRIDGMENT)
• PERCEPTIONS OF WHO BENEFITS FROM PUBLIC TRANSIT (ABRIDGMENT)
• PROVIDING INNOVATIVE RURAL TRANSPORTATION SERVICES UNDER SEVERE BUDGET CONSTRAINTS
• PUBLIC TRANSIT'S SURVIVAL AND PROSPERITY IN THE 1980S: EFFECTIVE MARKETING MANAGEMENT CAN LEAD THE WAY
• REVIEW OF ROUTE-LEVEL RIDERSHIP PREDICTION TECHNIQUES (ABRIDGMENT)