00372422

Component

http://onlinepubs.trb.org...s/trr/1982/877/877-016.pdf

https://scholar.google.co...nham&publication_year=1982

On October 1, 1978, the Jacksonville Transportation Authority (JTA) increased fares on almost all bus routes in the system. The impact of the fare increase on transit ridership is analyzed. Two complementary techniques are examined: (a) estimation of a ridership model based on time-series JTA operating data and (b) estimation of fare elasticities for market segments based on before-and-after on-board survey data. By using monthly operating data for JTA from January 1976 through June 1979 and multiple regression techniques, the elasticity of demand with respect to basic fare in real terms is estimated. The elasticity with respect to bus miles of service and the cross elasticity with respect to gasoline price are also estimated. The nonlinear, constant-elasticity model is found to best represent changes in travel behavior for the observed data. In addition, long-run elasticities are not significantly different from the one-month short-run elasticities over the time for which data were available after the fare increase (9 months). An on-board survey, administered slightly less than 6.5 months after the fare increase, is used to analyze the impact of the fare increase on market segments. Reliable estimates of market segment elasticities could not be obtained because the assumptions required for application of this method were violated. Sampling designs are required that provide more precise estimates of market segment ridership and disaggregate data by which to examine the impacts of all factors that affect transit use by market segments so that reliable estimates of market segment elasticities can be obtained.

Publication of this paper sponsored by Committee on Public Transportation Planning and Development. Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.

01411674

pp 84-90

1982

Transportation Research Record

0309034655

Print

References (6) ; Tables (1)

Automobiles; Costs; Data collection; Elasticity (Economics); Fares; Multiple regression analysis; Pricing; Ridership

Jacksonville (Florida)

Jacksonville (Florida)

Economics; Finance; Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Public Transportation

TRIS, TRB

Apr 29 1983 12:00AM

• 1981 SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA TRAVEL SURVEY
• COMMUTER PARKING AT A ROUTE-TERMINAL METRORAIL STATION
• DECISION MODELS FOR TRANSIT STATION DESIGN (ABRIDGMENT)
• DISTRIBUTION OF PUBLIC TRANSIT SUBSIDIES IN LOS ANGELES COUNTY
• EMERGING PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERSHIP IN URBAN TRANSPORTATION
• EVOLUTION OF TRANSIT INVESTMENT MEASURES IN MINNESOTA
• EXAMINING LIKELY CONSEQUENCES OF A NEW TRANSIT FARE POLICY
• FORMULA FOR ALLOCATION OF WMATA METRORAIL SUBSIDY REQUIREMENT
• GENERAL-PURPOSE SOLUTION METHODOLOGY FOR THE BUS GARAGE LOCATION PROBLEM. (ABRIDGMENT)
• GROWTH MANAGEMENT AND TRANSIT POTENTIAL: CASE STUDY IN ATLANTIC CITY, NEW JERSEY
• IMPLICATIONS OF SOCIAL AND SPATIAL TRENDS FOR TRANSIT OPERATIONS AND RESEARCH
• MULTISTAGE APPROACH FOR ESTIMATING TRANSIT COSTS
• PLANNING AND PRELIMINARY DESIGN OF WHITE PLAINS, NEW YORK, TRANSPORTATION CENTER
• PLANNING, IMPLEMENTING, AND EVALUATING A TIMED-TRANSFER SYSTEM IN PORTLAND, OREGON
• PROFILE OF MONTHLY PASS USERS IN THE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA
• PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION AND URBAN DECENTRALIZATION: CONFLICT OR ACCORD? (DISCUSSION AND CLOSURE)
• RAPID TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT IN MEDIUM-SIZED URBAN AREAS: A COMPARISON OF PLANNING AND DECISIONMAKING IN TWO CANADIAN CITIES
• SIMULTANEOUS-EQUATIONS ANALYSIS OF GROWTH IN BUS ROUTE PATRONAGE IN SAN DIEGO
• TEMPORAL AND SPATIAL DIMENSIONS OF RUNNING TIME IN TRANSIT SYSTEMS. (ABRIDGMENT)
• TRANSIT OPERATING COSTS AND FARE REQUIREMENTS FORECASTING BY USING REGRESSION MODELING
• TRANSIT SERVICES IN COASTAL RECREATION AREAS (ABRIDGMENT)
• TURNKEY PARK-AND-RIDE DEVELOPMENT
• USE OF SAMPLING IN BUS-LINE DATA COLLECTION