00342090

Component

https://onlinepubs.trb.or...trcircular/230/230-006.pdf

The purpose of this session was to identify possible trends in general aviation. For example, rising costs may shift activity from the personal flyer toward greater use of business aircraft, a trend accentuated by a decrease in airline service to smaller cities which the business traveler must visit. Although manufacturers will incorporate composite materials into their aircraft throughout the 1980's, significant weight reduction will not be achieved in the next decade. However, turboprop power plants and pressurization of lighter planes will enhance the use of smaller, more fuel efficient aircraft for business. Considerable strides in avionics are anticipated over the next decade, resulting in better flight management, better fuel control, and eventual weight savings due to aircraft design changes. The advent of advanced ground-based agricultural equipment is leading to less demand for agricultural aircraft. On the regulatory fronts, there is concern that general aviation will pay a disproportionate of user taxes and that defederalized airports will impose high landing fees to make up for lost Airport Development Aid Program funds.

Report of a Workshop sponsored by the Committee on Aviation Demand Forecasting of the Transportation Research Board, held at the National Academy of Sciences, Washington D.C. March 26-27, 1981. Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.

p. 8-9

1981-8

Transportation Research Circular

Digital/other

Agriculture; Air transportation; Aircraft; Airports; Composite materials; Forecasting; Private transportation; Technology; User charges; Utilization

Aviation; Finance; Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Research; Terminals and Facilities; Vehicles and Equipment; I10: Economics and Administration

TRIS, TRB

Dec 22 1981 12:00AM

• AIRCRAFT TECHNOLOGY
• AIRCRAFT TECHNOLOGY, IMPACT ON COSTS AND YIELDS
• AIRLINE CAPITAL NEEDS
• AIRLINE CARGO DEMAND
• AIRLINE PASSENGER DEMAND
• CHANGING NATURE OF AIRLINE COMPETITION
• COMMUNICATIONS--TELECONFERENCING
• COMMUTERS, SHORT HAUL, AND AIRPORTS
• DISCUSSION OF ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
• FINANCING THE U.S. AIRLINE INDUSTRY IN THE 1980'S
• FOREIGN COMPETITION AND DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE IMPACT
• REVIEW AND CRITIQUE OF FAA FORECASTS AND ASSUMPTIONS
• THE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
• THE ENERGY OUTLOOK
• THE MACRO BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
• THE OUTLOOK AND POLICY CHOICES FOR THE 1980'S