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Title:

TIME-STABILITY ANALYSIS OF TRIP-GENERATION AND PREDISTRIBUTION MODAL-CHOICE MODELS

Accession Number:

00141292

Record Type:

Component

Availability:

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Order URL: http://worldcat.org/isbn/030902482X

Abstract:

Data from home-interview surveys in Detroit for 1953 and 1965 were used to test the time stability of disaggregate trip-generation and predistribution modal-choice models. Initial cross-classification analysis showed 4 to 18 percent increases in household trip-generation rates for households with cars available. A statistical test of the overall time stability of multiple linear regression trip-generation equations indicated that the equations were not stable unless non-trip-making households were removed. The individual regression coefficients also were tested for time stability, and, despite the lack of overall statistical time stability, disaggregate work- and home-based trip-generation equations for 1953 produced reasonable estimates of 1965 zone-level trips. Disaggregate regression equations for the automobile-driver and bus modes also were found to exhibit only limited time stability. Interaction between cars available and number of persons employed was particularly important in explaining bus trips. Tests of the time-stability assumption at the zone level were limited by the lack of zone-level interaction variables.

Supplemental Notes:

Publication of this paper sponsored by Committee on Passenger Travel Demand Forecasting. Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved

Monograph Accession #:

01411427

Authors:

Smith Jr, Robert L
Cleveland, Donald E

Pagination:

pp 76-86

Publication Date:

1976

Serial:

Transportation Research Record

Issue Number: 569
Publisher: Transportation Research Board
ISSN: 0361-1981

Conference:

54th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board

Location: Washington District of Columbia
Date: 1975-1-13 to 1975-1-17

ISBN:

030902482X

Media Type:

Print

Features:

Figures (4) ; References (18) ; Tables (6)

Old TRIS Terms:

Subject Areas:

Highways; Motor Carriers; Operations and Traffic Management; Society

Files:

TRIS, TRB

Created Date:

Oct 26 1976 12:00AM

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