00139643

Component

http://onlinepubs.trb.org...s/trr/1976/577/577-002.pdf

https://scholar.google.co...saki&publication_year=1976

Every investment decision for transportation projects requires an extensive examination of the amount of anticipated traffic. A statistical technique, discriminant analysis, was used to determine its feasibility and applicability in estimating future traffic. Discriminant analysis is a method to statistically weigh transportation characteristics. This paper discusses an application of discriminant analysis in which travel demand is divided between transportation modes on the Ohio River. This study uses time of transit, distance of transit, annual tonnage, average shipment size, transportation rate, and handling charges as mode characteristics. An increase in the transportation rate, the most significant characteristic influencing mode choice by the user, was simulated (everything else held constant) so that a demand curve for barge transportation could be constructed.

Publication of this paper sponsored by Committee on Passenger and Freight Transportation Characteristics. Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.

01411434

Conf. Rpt.

pp 13-18

1976

Transportation Research Record

54th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board

0309024919

Print

Figures (2) ; References (12) ; Tables (2)

Analysis; Barges; Benefit cost analysis; Discriminant analysis; Economic analysis; Forecasting; Freight traffic; Freight transportation; Investments; Mode choice; Policy; Rates; Traffic forecasting; Transportation; Travel demand

Economics; Policy; Society; Transportation (General)

TRIS, TRB

Nov 17 1976 12:00AM

• DEVELOPMENT OF STATE RAILROAD PLANNING
• LINEAR PROGRAMMING SIMULATION OF ROUTING EMPTY RAILROAD CARS
• OPTIMAL CARGO VEHICLE FLOW PATTERNS FOR INLAND WATERWAY SYSTEMS
• THE TON-MILE: DOES IT PROPERLY MEASURE TRANSPORTATION OUTPUT?