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Title:

A CRITICAL ANALYSIS OF AN ORIGIN-DESTINATION SURVEY

Accession Number:

00227460

Record Type:

Component

Abstract:

THE FIELD THEORY OF LAND USE AND THE MOVEMENT OF PEOPLE IS AN ATTEMPT TO SIMULATE EXISTING PATTERNS OF MOVEMENT AND TO PREDICT FUTURE PATTERNS OF MOVEMENT WITHIN URBAN AREAS. IN THREE PREVIOUS STUDIES, IN WHICH ONLY WORK TRIPS HAVE BEEN SIMULATED, THE THEORY HAS YIELDED RESULTS WHICH HAVE BEEN AT LEAST CONSISTENT WITH THE RESULTS OF CORRESPONDING ORIGIN AND DESTINATION SURVEYS. IN 1957 AND O-D SURVEY WAS MADE OF THE CEDAR RAPIDS-MARION , IOWA AREA. EVERY SEVENTH HOUSEHOLD WAS INTERVIEWED, AND AN EXTERNAL CORDON WAS ESTABLISHED. THE RESULTS OF THIS SURVEY COMBINED WITH LAND USE AND TRAVEL TIME DATA WERE USED TO CREATE A GRAVITY MODEL OF THE AREA. AN ATTEMPT WAS MADE TO SIMULATE BY MEANS OF THE FIELD THEORY THE WORK-TRIP PATTERN FOUND BY THE O-D SURVEY OF CEDAR RAPIDS. WHEN IT WAS FOUND THAT THE RESULTS OF THE THEORY DID NOT, IN GENERAL, COMPARE FAVORABLY WITH THE RESULTS OF THE SURVEY, BOTH SETS OF DATA WERE EXAMINED IN CONSIDERABLE DETAIL IN AN EFFORT TO FIND THE CAUSE OR LOCATION OF THE MAJOR DISCREPANCIES. THE WORK TRIPS AND CBD TRIPS FOUND BY THE SURVEY ARE EXAMINED AND THE CONCLUSION REACHED THAT THE THEORY PREDICTS A MORE LOGICAL PATTERN OF MOVEMENT THAN THAT REPORTED BY THE SURVEY. APPARENTLY ILLOGICAL RESULTS OF THE SURVEY ARE POINTED OUT, AND THE QUESTION OF WHETHER THE THEORY MAY NOT BE MORE ACCURATE THAN THE SURVEY IS RAISED. THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE EXPECTED PROBABILITY OF ERROR OF SUCH A SURVEY IS NOTED. DATA FROM THE GRAVITY MODEL ARE PRESENTED, BUT NOT COMMENTED UPON.

Supplemental Notes:

Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved

Monograph Accession #:

01408009

Language:

English

Authors:

Howe, Robert T

Pagination:

pp 79-98

Publication Date:

1963

Serial:

Highway Research Record

Issue Number: 41
Publisher: Highway Research Board

Media Type:

Print

Features:

Appendices (1) ; Figures (10) ; References (7) ; Tables (8)

Geographic Terms:

Cedar Rapids (Iowa)

Old TRIS Terms:

Cedar Rapids (Iowa)

Subject Areas:

Highways; Operations and Traffic Management

Files:

TRIS, TRB

Created Date:

Aug 15 2004 2:36AM

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