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Title:

Assessing the Impact of Large-Scale Trends on Ontario’s Pedestrian Fatality Rate

Accession Number:

01769006

Record Type:

Component

Availability:

Find a library where document is available


Order URL: http://worldcat.org/issn/03611981

Abstract:

Pedestrian-involved collisions are a key contributor to roadway fatalities in Ontario; pedestrian deaths have been growing as a proportion of total road fatalities. This study aimed first to determine trends in the pedestrian fatality rate in Ontario over time and, second, to assess the impact of select large-scale trends on pedestrian fatalities. Large-scale trends were identified through a review of the literature and hypotheses were tested using Ontario collision data from 2002 to 2016. The following four key areas were assessed for their impact: (1) the aging demographic; (2) the impact of increasing consumer preference for light trucks; (3) the potential for an increase in alcohol-consuming pedestrians associated with a decrease in alcohol-consuming drivers, and; (4) increasing inattention, caused, in part, by pedestrians and drivers using electronic devices. A quadratic model, with a minimum at 2010, best described changes in Ontario’s pedestrian fatality rate, suggesting a transition from a decreasing to increasing trend at that time. Results of the four key areas were: (1) the proportion of pedestrians aged 75 and older being killed has been increasing over time, a trend that can be fully explained by their increased representation in Ontario’s population, a trend which is expected to continue; (2) similarly, the increase in the proportion of pedestrians killed by a light truck can be explained by their increased representation in Ontario’s registered vehicle population; (3) the odds of a pedestrian being alcohol positive have been decreasing over time; and (4) the odds are higher that a driver who kills a pedestrian is inattentive.

Supplemental Notes:

A research data file supporting the findings in this paper has been uploaded to SAGE, (DOI: 10.6084/m9.figshare.13697476) © National Academy of Sciences: Transportation Research Board 2021.

Language:

English

Authors:

Plonka, Sarah C
Volo, Sara
Byrne, Patrick A
Sinclair, Ian
Prabha, Thadsha

Pagination:

pp 580-589

Publication Date:

2021-8

Serial:

Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board

Volume: 2675
Issue Number: 8
Publisher: Sage Publications, Incorporated
ISSN: 0361-1981
EISSN: 2169-4052
Serial URL: http://journals.sagepub.com/home/trr

Media Type:

Web

Features:

References (23)

Geographic Terms:

Ontario

Subject Areas:

Highways; Pedestrians and Bicyclists; Safety and Human Factors

Files:

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Created Date:

Mar 27 2021 3:13PM