00334187

Component

http://onlinepubs.trb.org...s/trr/1980/775/775-001.pdf

https://scholar.google.co...bhia&publication_year=1980

In this paper the passenger-demand studies and the preliminary economic evaluation of policies to meet the passenger travel demand within the Rio de Janeiro-Sao Paulo-Campinas Corridor are summarized; particular attention is paid to the introduction of a high-speed train service. Existing methods for travel-demand forecasting were not judged suitable, both because of their cross-elasticity problems and because of the volume of data required to calibrate them. Accordingly, a new direct-demand model was developed centered on a multilevel multinomial-logit mode-split formulation. By applying this methodology, the main results of the evaluation of high-speed train service showed that it is unlikely to be economically justified for the whole corridor. However, it appears to be warranted for part of the corridor-the Sao Paulo-Campinas link-under all hypotheses adopted.

Publication of this paper sponsored by Committee on Passenger Travel Demand Forecasting. Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.

01411594

pp 1-7

1980

Transportation Research Record

59th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board

0309031192

Print

Figures (2) ; References (9) ; Tables (3)

Forecasting; High speed ground transportation; Intercity transportation; Logits; Modal split; Railroad transportation; Transportation corridors; Travel demand

Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Railroads; Terminals and Facilities; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning

TRIS, TRB

Oct 28 1981 12:00AM

• ASSESSMENT OF LAND-USE AND SOCIOECONOMIC FORECASTS IN THE BALTIMORE REGION
• CAR-OWNERSHIP FORECASTING TECHNIQUES IN GREAT BRITAIN
• COMPONENTS OF CHANGE IN URBAN TRAVEL
• MODEL SPECIFICATION, MODAL AGGREGATION, AND MARKET SEGMENTATION IN MODE-CHOICE MODELS: SOME EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE
• NETWORK EQUILIBRATION WITH ELASTIC DEMANDS
• NONRESPONSE PROBLEM IN TRAVEL SURVEYS: AN EMPIRICAL INVESTIGATION
• SIMPLE EQUILIBRIUM ANALYSIS OF THE DEDICATION OF A FREEWAY LANE TO EXCLUSIVE BUS USE
• STRATEGY STUDIES FOR URBAN TRANSPORT IN THE NETHERLANDS
• TRAVEL DEMAND FORECASTING BY USING THE NESTED MULTINOMIAL LOGIT MODEL
• USE OF INCREMENTAL FORM OF LOGIT MODELS IN DEMAND ANALYSIS