00319337

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http://onlinepubs.trb.org...s/trr/1980/746/746-006.pdf

https://scholar.google.co...Forg&publication_year=1980

This paper shows that the decrease in demand for urban public transportation if fares are increased can only be predicted accurately by studying the users of public transportation and the possible ways they might react to fare increases. In order to do this, the paper categorizes the users of public transportation according to factors that influence their demand for public transportation. Those persons who have alternative modes of transportation available to them are identified and divided into groups that are sensitive or not sensitive to price increases. These different factors make it possible to estimate the descrease in demand for public transportation if fares are increased. Furthermore, the paper stresses the imporance of two groups of persons who do not directly cause a decrease in demand for public transportation. The first group are those persons who have no alternative to the use of public transportation but would be severely hurt economically by fare increases. The second group are those persons who would complain about price increases but would continue to use public transportation. The former group gives useful information on the public's ability to pay, and the latter group indicates the probable public reaction to a fare increase. (Author)

Publication of this paper sponsored by Committee on Transit Service Characteristics. Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.

01411571

pp 30-35

1980

Transportation Research Record

0309030552

Print

Figures (2) ; References (1) ; Tables (4)

Consumer behavior; Elasticity (Mechanics); Fares; Forecasting; Low income groups; Public transit; Ridership; Sensitivity

Disadvantaged persons; Increase

Administration and Management; Finance; Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Public Transportation; Society; I10: Economics and Administration; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning

TRIS, TRB

Oct 27 1981 12:00AM

• DEVELOPMENT AND APPLICATION OF PERFORMANCE MEASURES FOR A MEASURES FOR A MEDIUM-SIZED TRANSIT SYSTEM
• DIAGNOSTIC TOOLS IN TRANSIT MANAGEMENT
• EVALUATING POTENTIAL EFFECTIVENESS OF HEADWAY CONTROL STRATEGIES FOR TRANSIT SYSTEMS
• HIERARCHICAL PROCEDURES FOR DETERMINING VEHICLE AND CREW REQUIREMENTS FOR MASS TRANSIT SYSTEMS
• INITIAL REACTIONS TO A CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT BUS TRANSIT MALL IN HONOLULU
• NOTE ON BUS ROUTE EXTENSIONS (ABRIDGMENT)
• Operational Improvements in a Two-City Bus Transit Corridor
• PORTFOLIO MODEL OF RESOURCE ALLOCATION FOR THE TRANSIT FIRM
• RECENT EXPERIENCE WITH ACCESSIBLE BUS SERVICES
• SYSTEMATIC PROCEDURE FOR ANALYSIS OF BUS GARAGE LOCATIONS
• TRANSIT RIDERSHIP IN AN INTENSE TRANSIT ENVIRONMENT: SOME OBSERVATIONS
• USE OF FEDERAL SECTION 15 DATA IN TRANSIT PERFORMANCE EVALUATION: MICHIGAN PROGRAM (ABRIDGMENT)