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Title:

COST FORECASTING FOR INTERNATIONAL AIRLINE OPERATIONS

Accession Number:

00311191

Record Type:

Component

Availability:

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Order URL: http://worldcat.org/isbn/0309029872

Abstract:

Cost models are constructed and calibrated to describe airline operating costs in selected international markets. These models are then used to demonstrate how operating costs can be forecast for relatively short time horizons, such as three years. The models confirm the concept that operating costs in different markets of the world air transportation system are significantly different. The reasons for this include the geographic characteristics of the different markets in terms of stage lengths and network structure and the differences in input prices for items such as fuel and labor. Fleet mix is also an important determinant of operating costs. The use of wide-body aircraft is seen to have a significant impact on reducing airline operating costs. Recently, operating costs have tended to decline in real terms but to increase in current terms. The forecasts made for a three-year period indicate that these trends might continue. These forecasts, however, are strongly dependent on assumptions regarding fuel prices. (Author)

Supplemental Notes:

Publication of this paper sponsored by Committee on Aviation Demand Forecasting. Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.

Monograph Accession #:

01411560

Authors:

Kanafani, Adib
Yuan, Huey-Shin

Pagination:

pp 15-24

Publication Date:

1979

Serial:

Transportation Research Record

Issue Number: 732
Publisher: Transportation Research Board
ISSN: 0361-1981

ISBN:

0309029872

Media Type:

Print

Features:

Figures (13) ; References (4) ; Tables (2)

Uncontrolled Terms:

Cost models; Fleets; Fuel costs

Subject Areas:

Aviation; Energy; Finance; Highways; Planning and Forecasting

Files:

TRIS, TRB

Created Date:

Jun 26 1980 12:00AM

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