01661405

Component

A transportation system model was developed for the Detroit area using the POLARIS-Autonomie agent-based transportation-energy simulator. Working with local stakeholders, the authors identified two future population growth and land-use change scenarios. They then applied the model to analyze mobility and energy implications of different growth patterns. The model was applied to simulate the Detroit areafor a baseline case and two future scenarios: --SEMCOG2040: a future based on business as usual projections -- DFC2040: a future with significant land use changes and urban revitalization. For both scenarios, two cases with current and advanced (more efficient) vehicles were simulated, representing vehicle with fuel economies projected for the year 2040.Under the SEMCOG2040 scenario, slight increases in trips and VMT were seen over the baseline case. For the DFC2040 scenario, trips were reduced by 8% with a 9% decrease in VMT from the baseline case, due in part to increased transit use and walking. When vehicles were assumed to be advanced-technology (more efficient) vehicles, energy use was reduced by an additional 30%.Integration of travel behavior and vehicle energy consumption modeling, taking into account transportation system performance, land use changes, and vehicle technology advancement offers the capability to analyze a variety of potential advanced transportation system improvements of interest to the region.

This paper was sponsored by TRB committee ADC70 Standing Committee on Transportation Energy.

18-05743

English

16p

2018

Transportation Research Board 97th Annual Meeting

Digital/other

Figures; References; Tables

Energy consumption; Land use; Population; Traffic flow; Travel demand; Vehicle miles of travel

Detroit (Michigan)

Energy; Highways; Planning and Forecasting

Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting 2018 Paper #18-05743

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Jan 8 2018 11:28AM