01660143

Component

Transport accessibility is assumed to be a main driver of urbanisation. Like many other metropolitan regions, the Randstad, the population and economic core of the Netherlands has experienced significant urbanisation, railway and highway network expansion and transport related spatial policies aimed to channel urban growth. This paper investigates the long-term relationships by using a panel dataset consisting of grid cells measured at six time points from 1960 to 2010. Generalised Estimating Equations (GEE) regression was applied to model the built-up area. Predictors include accessibility by and proximity to transport infrastructure, vicinity of urban areas, and spatial policies. Results indicate that road and rail accessibility alike, stably influenced urbanisation, but less than urban proximity. Transport-related spatial policies played a significant role in channelling new urbanisation, while preserving the centrally located green and mainly rural area. Remarkably, the legacy of earlier policies is still significant despite shifts in predominant Dutch spatial policies. The findings are expected to be relevant for comparable poly-nuclear areas.

This paper was sponsored by TRB committee ADD30 Standing Committee on Transportation and Land Development.

18-00499

English

16p

2018

Transportation Research Board 97th Annual Meeting

Digital/other

References; Tables

Accessibility; Highway transportation; History; Longitudinal studies; Networks; Railroad transportation; Urban growth; Urban transportation policy; Urbanization

Generalized estimating equations; Spatial policy

Randstad (Netherlands)

Highways; History; Planning and Forecasting; Railroads

Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting 2018 Paper #18-00499

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Jan 8 2018 10:08AM