01623062

Component

Drawing on a panel of German survey data spanning 1997-2013, this paper identifies the correlates of non-recreational bicycling, focusing specifically on the roles of bicycle paths and fuel prices. The authors' approach conceptualizes ridership as a two stage decision process comprising the discrete choice of whether to use the bike (i.e. the intensive margin)and the continuous choice of how far to ride (i.e. the extensive margin). To the extent that these two choices are related and, moreover, potentially influenced by factors unobservable to the researcher, the authors explore alternative estimators using two-stage censored regression techniques to assess whether the results are subject to biases from sample selectivity. A key finding is that while higher fuel costs are associated with an increased probability of undertaking non-recreational bike trips, this effect is predicated on residence in an urbanized region. The authors also find evidence for a positive association with the extent of bike paths, both in increasing the probability of non-recreational bike travel as well as the distance traveled.

This paper was sponsored by TRB committee ANF20 Standing Committee on Bicycle Transportation.

01618707

17-01671

English

23p

2017

Transportation Research Board 96th Annual Meeting

Digital/other

Figures; References; Tables

Bicycle commuting; Bikeways; Fuels; Prices; Shopping trips

Fuel prices

Germany

Finance; Pedestrians and Bicyclists; Planning and Forecasting; Terminals and Facilities

Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting 2017 Paper #17-01671

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Dec 8 2016 10:34AM