01594833

Component

https://doi.org/10.3141/2581-09

Although developed only in the past 20 years, Chinese high-speed rail (HSR) has overtaken many of its forerunners in its unprecedented scale. However, such a scale raises questions about its implications for regional economic development. Previous studies have discussed the impact of HSR at the regional and city levels, but few have addressed its impact on the individual level, which is crucial for understanding the distribution of the impact. To fill the gap, this study focused on the economic impact of recent HSR development between 2009 and 2012 on Chinese household income and discussed its significance, magnitude, and distribution. The survey data from the China Family Panel Survey were used and a difference-in-differences approach was implemented. Two key explanatory variables, weighted average travel time and probability of living proximate to HSR stations, were included in the models to examine the direct and spillover impacts of HSR. The study shows that these impacts both contribute to the HSR impact but affect urban and rural regions and production sectors differently. In particular, the spillover effect or the agglomeration effect contributes the most and favors more urbanized regions with stronger service sectors. As a consequence, although HSR plays a positive role in stimulating the regional economy, it may further widen the gap between developed regions and underdeveloped regions. From the analyses, it is concluded that HSR projects need more comprehensive studies of the full spectrum of its impact to ensure both economic growth and regional balance and coordination.

01595165

16-4655

English

pp 71–78

2016

Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board

9780309369695

Print

Figures (1) ; References (9) ; Tables (7)

Developing countries; Economic growth; Economic impacts; High speed rail; Households; Income; Regional development; Residential areas; Travel time; Urban areas

China

Economics; Public Transportation; Railroads

TRIS, TRB, ATRI

Jan 12 2016 6:03PM

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